Bell R, Petticrew M, Sheldon T
NHS Centre for Reviews and Dissemination, University of York.
Br J Obstet Gynaecol. 1998 Nov;105(11):1136-47. doi: 10.1111/j.1471-0528.1998.tb09966.x.
To estimate the performance of currently available tests in detecting ovarian cancer in asymptomatic women.
Systematic review of prospective screening studies.
Twenty-five studies were identified: sixteen studied women at average risk and nine studied women at higher risk. Most studies evaluated only one screening method, were small, detecting few cancers, and gave few follow up details. Sensitivity estimates are therefore imprecise. In a typical larger study, reported sensitivity of ultrasound screening at one year was around 100% (95% CI 54%-100%), while the sensitivity of CA125 measurement followed by ultrasound (multimodal screening) was about 80% (95% CI 49%-95%). False positive rates ranged between 1.2% and 2.5% for grey scale ultrasound, between 0.3% and 0.7% for ultrasound with colour Doppler and between 0.1% and 0.6% for multimodal screening. This implies that, in annual screening of a population with an incidence of 40 per 100,000, and if no cancers were missed, between 2.5 and 60 women would undergo surgery for every primary ovarian cancer detected.
Ultrasound and multimodal screening can detect ovarian cancer in asymptomatic women, but there is currently no evidence on whether screening improves outcome for women in any risk group. On-going randomised controlled trials should establish the magnitude of any benefit of screening. The low prevalence of ovarian cancer in the population, and its rate of progression, may limit the potential cost-effectiveness of screening.
评估目前可用检测方法在无症状女性中检测卵巢癌的性能。
对前瞻性筛查研究进行系统评价。
共纳入25项研究:16项研究平均风险女性,9项研究高风险女性。大多数研究仅评估一种筛查方法,规模较小,检测到的癌症病例较少,且随访细节较少。因此,敏感性估计并不精确。在一项典型的较大规模研究中,报告的超声筛查一年时的敏感性约为100%(95%可信区间54%-100%),而CA125检测后联合超声检查(多模式筛查)的敏感性约为80%(95%可信区间49%-95%)。灰阶超声的假阳性率在1.2%至2.5%之间,彩色多普勒超声的假阳性率在0.3%至0.7%之间,多模式筛查的假阳性率在0.1%至0.6%之间。这意味着,在每10万人中有40例发病率的人群中进行年度筛查,且如果没有漏诊癌症病例,那么每检测到一例原发性卵巢癌,就会有2.5至60名女性接受手术。
超声检查和多模式筛查能够在无症状女性中检测出卵巢癌,但目前尚无证据表明筛查是否能改善任何风险组女性的结局。正在进行的随机对照试验应确定筛查的任何益处的程度。卵巢癌在人群中的低患病率及其进展速度可能会限制筛查的潜在成本效益。