2009 年甲型 H1N1 流感大流行在美国的流行率估计,2009 年 4 月至 7 月。
Estimates of the prevalence of pandemic (H1N1) 2009, United States, April-July 2009.
机构信息
Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Rd NE, Mailstop A32, Atlanta, GA 30033, USA.
出版信息
Emerg Infect Dis. 2009 Dec;15(12):2004-7. doi: 10.3201/eid1512.091413.
PMID:19961687
Abstract
Through July 2009, a total of 43,677 laboratory-confirmed cases of influenza A pandemic (H1N1) 2009 were reported in the United States, which is likely a substantial underestimate of the true number. Correcting for under-ascertainment using a multiplier model, we estimate that 1.8 million-5.7 million cases occurred, including 9,000-21,000 hospitalizations.
摘要
截至 2009 年 7 月,美国共报告了 43677 例经实验室确诊的甲型 H1N1 流感大流行病例,这很可能大大低估了实际病例数。我们使用倍增模型校正漏报情况后估计,有 180 万至 570 万例病例发生,包括 9000 至 21000 例住院病例。