随机试验、统计学和临床推论。

Randomized trials, statistics, and clinical inference.

机构信息

Columbia University Medical Center and the Cardiovascular Research Foundation, New York, New York 10023, USA.

出版信息

J Am Coll Cardiol. 2010 Feb 2;55(5):428-31. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2009.06.066.

Abstract

The completion and proper assessment of prospective, randomized controlled trials is essential for best medical practice. However, even though randomized trials are generally considered the pinnacle of evidence-based medicine, they are not infrequently poorly designed, implemented with inadequate quality control, and/or are subject to inappropriate interpretation or generalization, resulting in suboptimal clinical care and/or future investigative directions. The present report describes the most common and egregious misrepresentations from randomized trials, many of which may be attributed to the fallacies that arise from underpowered studies, resulting in overly optimistic or unwarranted conclusions. Caution is necessary when assessing composite outcomes, secondary end points, subgroup analyses, and the results of meta-analysis and meta-regression. Sponsors and investigators must accept responsibility for optimizing the design and execution of clinical trials, and practitioners, guidelines committees, editors, and regulators must critically interpret the data and literature arising from such studies. It is hoped that the principles embodied in the present commentary will spur improved design of future randomized trials and thoughtful critical appraisal by health care providers.

摘要

前瞻性、随机对照试验的完成和恰当评估对于最佳医疗实践至关重要。然而,尽管随机试验通常被认为是循证医学的巅峰之作,但它们设计不佳、质量控制不足、/或受到不当解释或推广的情况并不少见,导致临床护理和/或未来研究方向不佳。本报告描述了最常见和最严重的来自随机试验的错误陈述,其中许多可能归因于研究力量不足引起的谬论,导致过于乐观或没有根据的结论。在评估复合结局、次要终点、亚组分析以及荟萃分析和荟萃回归的结果时需要谨慎。赞助商和研究者必须为优化临床试验的设计和执行承担责任,而从业者、指南委员会、编辑和监管机构必须批判性地解释这些研究产生的数据和文献。希望本评论中体现的原则将促使未来随机试验的设计得到改进,并促使医疗保健提供者进行深思熟虑的批判性评估。

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