让我帮你在谷歌上查一下:对与足踝疼痛相关术语的互联网搜索趋势季节性的时间序列分析。

Let me Google that for you: a time series analysis of seasonality in internet search trends for terms related to foot and ankle pain.

作者信息

Telfer Scott, Woodburn James

机构信息

Research Fellow, Institute of Applied Health Research, Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow, G4 0BA UK.

Professor of Rehabilitation, Institute of Applied Health Research, Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow, UK.

出版信息

J Foot Ankle Res. 2015 Jul 3;8:27. doi: 10.1186/s13047-015-0074-9. eCollection 2015.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The analysis of internet search traffic may present the opportunity to gain insights into general trends and patterns in information seeking behaviour related to medical conditions at a population level. For prevalent and widespread problems such as foot and ankle pain, this information has the potential to improve our understanding of seasonality and trends within these conditions and their treatments, and may act as a useful proxy for their true incidence/prevalence characteristics. This study aimed to explore seasonal effects, general trends and relative popularity of internet search terms related to foot and ankle pain over the past decade.

METHODS

We used the Google Trends tool to obtain relative search engine traffic for terms relating to foot and ankle pain and common treatments from Google search and affiliated pages for major northern and southern hemisphere English speaking nations. Analysis of overall trends and seasonality including summer/winter differences was carried out on these terms.

RESULTS

Searches relating to general foot pain were on average 3.4 times more common than those relating to ankle pain, and twice as common as searches relating to heel pain. Distinct seasonal effects were seen in the northern hemisphere, with large increases in search volumes in the summer months compared to winter for foot (p = 0.004, 95 % CI [22.2-32.1]), ankle (p = 0.0078, 95 % CI [20.9-35.5]), and heel pain (p = 0.004, 95 % CI [29.1-45.6]). These seasonal effects were reflected by data from Australia, with the exception of ankle pain. Annual seasonal effects for treatment options were limited to terms related to foot surgery and ankle orthoses (p = 0.031, 95 % CI [3.5-20.9]; p = 0.004, 95 % CI [7.6-25.2] respectively), again increasing in the summer months.

CONCLUSIONS

A number of general trends and annual seasonal effects were found in time series internet search data for terms relating to foot and ankle pain. This data may provide insights into these conditions at population levels.

摘要

背景

对互联网搜索流量进行分析,可能为洞察人群层面与医疗状况相关的信息搜索行为的总体趋势和模式提供契机。对于足部和踝关节疼痛这类普遍且广泛存在的问题,此类信息有助于增进我们对这些病症及其治疗的季节性和趋势的理解,并且可能成为反映其真实发病率/患病率特征的有用指标。本研究旨在探究过去十年中与足部和踝关节疼痛相关的互联网搜索词的季节性效应、总体趋势及相对热度。

方法

我们使用谷歌趋势工具,获取了来自北半球和南半球主要英语国家谷歌搜索及附属页面中与足部和踝关节疼痛及常见治疗相关词汇的相对搜索引擎流量。对这些词汇进行了总体趋势和季节性分析,包括夏季/冬季差异。

结果

与一般足部疼痛相关的搜索平均比与踝关节疼痛相关的搜索常见3.4倍,是与足跟疼痛相关搜索的两倍。在北半球观察到明显的季节性效应,与冬季相比,夏季足部(p = 0.004,95%置信区间[22.2 - 32.1])、踝关节(p = 0.0078,95%置信区间[20.9 - 35.5])和足跟疼痛(p = 0.004, 95%置信区间[29.1 - 45.6])的搜索量大幅增加。除踝关节疼痛外,澳大利亚的数据也反映出了这些季节性效应。治疗选择的年度季节性效应仅限于与足部手术和踝关节矫形器相关的词汇(分别为p = 0.031,95%置信区间[3.5 - 20.9];p = 0.004,95%置信区间[7.6 - 25.2]),同样在夏季月份增加。

结论

在与足部和踝关节疼痛相关词汇的时间序列互联网搜索数据中发现了一些总体趋势和年度季节性效应。这些数据可能为人群层面的这些病症提供见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03be/4490673/7a79b3578bec/13047_2015_74_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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