全球季节性流感的地理和时间分布模式及其相关气候因素。
Global Geographical and Temporal Patterns of Seasonal Influenza and Associated Climatic Factors.
机构信息
Bioscience Department, Endeavour College of Natural Health, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
School of Medicine, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
出版信息
Epidemiol Rev. 2019 Jan 31;41(1):51-68. doi: 10.1093/epirev/mxz008.
Understanding geographical and temporal patterns of seasonal influenza can help strengthen influenza surveillance to early detect epidemics and inform influenza prevention and control programs. We examined variations in spatiotemporal patterns of seasonal influenza in different global regions and explored climatic factors that influence differences in influenza seasonality, through a systematic review of peer-reviewed publications. The literature search was conducted to identify original studies published between January 2005 and November 2016. Studies were selected using predetermined inclusion and exclusion criteria. The primary outcome was influenza cases; additional outcomes included seasonal or temporal patterns of influenza seasonality, study regions (temperate or tropical), and associated climatic factors. Of the 2,160 records identified in the selection process, 36 eligible studies were included. There were significant differences in influenza seasonality in terms of the time of onset, duration, number of peaks, and amplitude of epidemics between temperate and tropical/subtropical regions. Different viral types, cocirculation of influenza viruses, and climatic factors, especially temperature and absolute humidity, contributed to the variations in spatiotemporal patterns of seasonal influenza. The findings reported in this review could inform global surveillance of seasonal influenza and influenza prevention and control measures such as vaccination recommendations for different regions.
了解季节性流感的地理和时间模式有助于加强流感监测,以便及早发现流行情况,并为流感预防和控制规划提供信息。我们通过对同行评议出版物的系统回顾,研究了不同全球区域季节性流感时空模式的变化,并探讨了影响流感季节性差异的气候因素。文献检索旨在确定 2005 年 1 月至 2016 年 11 月期间发表的原始研究。使用预定的纳入和排除标准选择研究。主要结果是流感病例;其他结果包括流感季节性的季节性或时间模式、研究区域(温带或热带)以及相关的气候因素。在选择过程中确定的 2160 条记录中,有 36 项符合条件的研究被纳入。温带和热带/亚热带地区的流感季节性在发病时间、持续时间、流行高峰次数和幅度方面存在显著差异。不同的病毒类型、流感病毒的共同循环以及气候因素,尤其是温度和绝对湿度,导致了季节性流感时空模式的变化。本综述报告的结果可以为季节性流感的全球监测以及流感预防和控制措施(如针对不同地区的疫苗接种建议)提供信息。