预测传染病:非洲的文献计量学综述。
Predicting Infectious Diseases: A Bibliometric Review on Africa.
机构信息
Department of Information Technology, Central University of Technology, Free State, Private Bag X200539, Bloemfontein 9300, South Africa.
Centre for Transformative Agricultural and Food Systems, School of Agricultural, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Private Bag X01, Pietermaritzburg 3201, South Africa.
出版信息
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Feb 8;19(3):1893. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19031893.
Africa has a long history of novel and re-emerging infectious disease outbreaks. This reality has attracted the attention of researchers interested in the general research theme of predicting infectious diseases. However, a knowledge mapping analysis of literature to reveal the research trends, gaps, and hotspots in predicting Africa's infectious diseases using bibliometric tools has not been conducted. A bibliometric analysis of 247 published papers on predicting infectious diseases in Africa, published in the Web of Science core collection databases, is presented in this study. The results indicate that the severe outbreaks of infectious diseases in Africa have increased scientific publications during the past decade. The results also reveal that African researchers are highly underrepresented in these publications and that the United States of America (USA) is the most productive and collaborative country. The relevant hotspots in this research field include malaria, models, classification, associations, COVID-19, and cost-effectiveness. Furthermore, weather-based prediction using meteorological factors is an emerging theme, and very few studies have used the fourth industrial revolution (4IR) technologies. Therefore, there is a need to explore 4IR predicting tools such as machine learning and consider integrated approaches that are pivotal to developing robust prediction systems for infectious diseases, especially in Africa. This review paper provides a useful resource for researchers, practitioners, and research funding agencies interested in the research theme-the prediction of infectious diseases in Africa-by capturing the current research hotspots and trends.
非洲有着悠久的新发和再现传染病爆发的历史。这一现实引起了对预测传染病这一普遍研究主题感兴趣的研究人员的关注。然而,利用文献计量工具对预测非洲传染病的文献进行研究趋势、差距和热点的知识图谱分析尚未进行。本研究对在 Web of Science 核心合集数据库中发表的 247 篇关于预测非洲传染病的已发表论文进行了文献计量分析。结果表明,过去十年,非洲传染病的严重爆发增加了科学出版物。结果还表明,非洲研究人员在这些出版物中的代表性严重不足,美国是最具生产力和合作性的国家。该研究领域的相关热点包括疟疾、模型、分类、关联、COVID-19 和成本效益。此外,利用气象因素进行基于天气的预测是一个新兴主题,很少有研究使用第四次工业革命(4IR)技术。因此,有必要探索 4IR 预测工具,如机器学习,并考虑综合方法,这对于开发针对传染病的强大预测系统至关重要,特别是在非洲。本文通过捕捉当前的研究热点和趋势,为对非洲传染病预测这一研究主题感兴趣的研究人员、从业者和研究资助机构提供了一个有用的资源。