对≥60 岁人群接种二价(原始/Omicron BA.4-5)mRNA 疫苗加强针对严重 COVID-19 的有效性:意大利,2022-2023 年,根据不同 Omicron 亚变体流行期间的日历时间和接种后时间估算
Effectiveness against severe COVID-19 of a seasonal booster dose of bivalent (original/Omicron BA.4-5) mRNA vaccines in persons aged ≥60 years: Estimates over calendar time and by time since administration during prevalent circulation of different Omicron subvariants, Italy, 2022-2023.
机构信息
Department of Infectious Diseases, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Viale Regina Elena 299, 00161 Rome, Italy.
Department of Infectious Diseases, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Viale Regina Elena 299, 00161 Rome, Italy.
出版信息
Vaccine. 2024 Oct 3;42(23):126026. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.05.074. Epub 2024 Jun 3.
Evaluating how a COVID-19 seasonal vaccination program performed might help to plan future campaigns. This study aims to estimate the relative effectiveness (rVE) against severe COVID-19 of a seasonal booster dose over calendar time and by time since administration. We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis among 13,083,855 persons aged ≥60 years who were eligible to receive a seasonal booster at the start of the 2022-2023 vaccination campaign in Italy. We estimated rVE against severe COVID-19 (hospitalization or death) of a seasonal booster dose of bivalent (original/Omicron BA.4-5) mRNA vaccines by two-month calendar interval and at different times post-administration. We used multivariable Cox regression models, including vaccination as time-dependent exposure, to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and rVEs as [(1-HR)X100]. The rVE of a seasonal booster decreased from 64.9% (95% CI: 59.8-69.4) in October-November 2022 to 22.0% (95% CI: 15.4-28.0) in April-May 2023, when the majority of vaccinated persons (67%) had received the booster at least 4-6 months earlier. During the epidemic phase with prevalent circulation of the Omicron BA.5 subvariant, rVE of a seasonal booster received ≤90 days earlier was 83.0% (95% CI: 79.1-86.1), compared to 37.4% (95% CI: 25.5-47.5) during prevalent circulation of the Omicron XBB subvariant. During the XBB epidemic phase, rVE was estimated at 15.8% (95% CI: 9.1-20.1) 181-369 days post-administration of the booster dose. In all the analyses we observed similar trends of rVE between persons aged 60-79 and those ≥80 years, although estimates were somewhat lower for the oldest group. A seasonal booster dose received during the vaccination campaign provided additional protection against severe COVID-19 up to April-May 2023, after which the incidence of severe COVID-19 was much reduced. The results also suggest that the Omicron XBB subvariant might have partly escaped the immunity provided by the seasonal booster targeting the original and Omicron BA.4-5 strains of SARS-CoV-2.
评估 COVID-19 季节性疫苗接种计划的效果可能有助于规划未来的疫苗接种活动。本研究旨在评估 2022-2023 年意大利季节性加强针接种运动开始时,符合接种条件的 13083855 名 60 岁以上人群中,按日历时间和接种后时间计算,针对严重 COVID-19 的二价(原始/Omicron BA.4-5)mRNA 疫苗季节性加强针的相对有效性(rVE)。我们通过两个月的日历间隔和接种后不同时间,使用多变量 Cox 回归模型(包括疫苗接种作为时间依赖性暴露因素),估计了严重 COVID-19(住院或死亡)的调整后危险比(HR)和 rVE[(1-HR)X100]。2022 年 10 月至 11 月,季节性加强针的 rVE 为 64.9%(95%CI:59.8-69.4),2023 年 4 月至 5 月,当大多数接种者(67%)至少提前 4-6 个月接种加强针时,rVE 降至 22.0%(95%CI:15.4-28.0)。在流行 Omicron BA.5 亚变体的流行阶段,接种后 ≤90 天的季节性加强针 rVE 为 83.0%(95%CI:79.1-86.1),而在流行 Omicron XBB 亚变体时,rVE 为 37.4%(95%CI:25.5-47.5)。在 XBB 流行阶段,加强针接种后 181-369 天,rVE 估计为 15.8%(95%CI:9.1-20.1)。在所有分析中,我们观察到 60-79 岁和≥80 岁人群的 rVE 之间存在相似的趋势,尽管对于最年长的人群,估计值略低。在 2022-2023 年疫苗接种运动期间接种的季节性加强针,在 2023 年 4 月至 5 月之前,对严重 COVID-19 提供了额外的保护,此后,严重 COVID-19 的发病率大大降低。结果还表明,针对 SARS-CoV-2 原始株和 Omicron BA.4-5 株的季节性加强针,可能部分逃避了针对 Omicron XBB 亚变体的免疫。