BACKGROUND

Mucinous adenocarcinoma of the appendix (MACA) follows a complex disease course with variable survival. Large-scale predictive modeling may determine subtle yet important prognostic factors otherwise unseen in smaller cohort analyses.

METHODS

Patients with MACA were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Research Plus database (2005-2019). Primary, secondary, and tertiary outcomes were disease-specific survival (DSS), overall survival (OS), and average annual percent change (AAPC) in incidence.

RESULTS

Among 4,258 included patients, MACA was most frequently diagnosed at 50 to 69 years (52.0%), with female preponderance (55.9%). MACA incidence AAPC was 3.8 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.9-5.9). For patients with exclusive, first-diagnosis MACA included in survival analysis (3,222 patients), median DSS and OS were 118 and 88 months, respectively. In DSS-based multivariable analysis, worse prognosis was associated with non-Hispanic Black background (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.02-1.82; p = 0.036), high grade (grade 3 HR 3.10, 95% CI 2.44-3.92; p < 0.001), lymphatic spread (HR 2.73, 95% CI 2.26-3.30; p < 0.001), and distant metastasis (HR 5.84, 95% CI 3.86-8.83; p < 0.001). In subcohort analysis of patients with rationale for cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (CRS-HIPEC, 2,387 patients), CRS-HIPEC was associated with survival benefit compared with surgery alone but only for moderate-grade tumors (median DSS/OS 138/138 vs. 116/87 months; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Mucinous adenocarcinoma of the appendix incidence is increasing in the United States. Survival rates are affected by both demographics and classical risk factors, and CRS-HIPEC-associated survival benefit predominantly occurs in moderate-grade tumors. Further exploration of biologic and clinicopathologic features may enhance risk stratification for this disease.