Ades A E, Sculpher M J, Gibb D M, Gupta R, Ratcliffe J
Department of Epidemiology, Institute of Child Health, London WC1N 1EH.
BMJ. 1999 Nov 6;319(7219):1230-4. doi: 10.1136/bmj.319.7219.1230.
To assess the cost effectiveness of universal antenatal HIV screening compared with selective screening in the United Kingdom.
Incremental cost effectiveness analysis relating additional costs of screening to life years gained. Maternal and paediatric costs and life years were combined.
United Kingdom.
Number of districts for which universal screening would be cost effective compared with selective screening under various conditions.
On base case assumptions, a new diagnosis of a pregnant woman with HIV results in a gain of 6.392 life years and additional expenditure of 14 833 pounds. If decision makers are prepared to pay up to 10 000 pounds an additional life year, this would imply a net benefit of 49 090 pounds (range 12 300 pounds- 59 000 pounds), which would be available to detect each additional infected woman in an antenatal screening programme. In London, universal antenatal screening would be cost effective compared with a selective screening under any reasonable assumptions about screening costs. Outside London, universal screening with uptake above 90% would be cost effective with a 0.60 pounds HIV antibody test cost and up to 3.5 minutes for pretest discussion. Cost effectiveness of universal testing is lower if selective testing can achieve high uptake among those at higher risk. A universal strategy with only 50% uptake may not be less cost effective in low prevalence districts and may cost more and be less effective than a well run selective strategy.
Universal screening with pretest discussion should be adopted throughout the United Kingdom as part of routine antenatal care as long as test costs can be kept low and uptake high.
评估在英国,与选择性筛查相比,普遍产前HIV筛查的成本效益。
将筛查的额外成本与获得的生命年数相关联的增量成本效益分析。合并了孕产妇和儿科成本以及生命年数。
英国。
在各种条件下,与选择性筛查相比,普遍筛查具有成本效益的地区数量。
基于基本假设,一名新诊断出感染HIV的孕妇可带来6.392个生命年的收益,并产生14833英镑的额外支出。如果决策者愿意为每个额外的生命年支付高达10000英镑,这意味着在产前筛查计划中,每检测出一名额外的感染女性可获得49090英镑的净收益(范围为12300英镑至59000英镑)。在伦敦,在任何关于筛查成本的合理假设下,普遍产前筛查与选择性筛查相比都具有成本效益。在伦敦以外地区,当HIV抗体检测成本为0.60英镑且检测前讨论时间最长为3.5分钟时,接受率高于90%的普遍筛查具有成本效益。如果选择性检测能在高危人群中实现高接受率,那么普遍检测的成本效益就会降低。在低流行地区,接受率仅为50%的普遍策略可能不会比运行良好的选择性策略成本效益更低,甚至可能成本更高且效果更差。
只要能保持检测成本低且接受率高,英国应将检测前讨论的普遍筛查作为常规产前护理的一部分予以采用。