Stürmer T, Brenner H
Department of Epidemiology, University of Ulm, Germany.
Genet Epidemiol. 2000 Jan;18(1):63-80. doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1098-2272(200001)18:1<63::AID-GEPI5>3.0.CO;2-O.
There is growing interest in interactions between genetic and environmental risk factors of disease, but adequate power to detect such interactions in epidemiologic studies is of concern. The aim of this paper is to quantify the effect of matching on the efficiency of estimation and power to detect gene-environment interactions in case-control studies.
Starting from an empirical example in cancer epidemiology, we simulated frequency matched and unmatched case-control studies for a wide range of assumptions regarding the prevalence and the effects of an environmental and a genetic factor on disease risk as well as the quality and quantity of the interaction between these factors. Simulated studies were analyzed with multivariable logistic regression.
Matching increased the efficiency and power in most scenarios. The gain was most pronounced in scenarios assuming a low prevalence of the environmental exposure. In such scenarios, equivalent power was only obtained with more than twice as many unmatched than matched controls.
Frequency matching for known environmental risk factors with a low prevalence in the population may increase the efficiency of estimation and power of case-control studies to detect gene-environment interactions considerably. Investigators should weigh the gain in efficiency and power against known potential disadvantages of matching.
人们对疾病的遗传和环境风险因素之间的相互作用越来越感兴趣,但在流行病学研究中检测这种相互作用的足够效能令人关注。本文的目的是量化匹配对病例对照研究中估计效率和检测基因-环境相互作用效能的影响。
从癌症流行病学的一个实证例子出发,我们针对环境因素和遗传因素对疾病风险的患病率、效应以及这些因素之间相互作用的质量和数量等广泛假设,模拟了频率匹配和不匹配的病例对照研究。对模拟研究进行多变量逻辑回归分析。
在大多数情况下,匹配提高了效率和效能。在假设环境暴露患病率较低的情况下,这种增益最为明显。在这种情况下,不匹配对照组的数量需要是匹配对照组的两倍多才能获得同等效能。
对人群中患病率较低的已知环境风险因素进行频率匹配,可能会显著提高病例对照研究检测基因-环境相互作用的估计效率和效能。研究者应权衡效率和效能的提高与匹配已知的潜在缺点。