Saito T, Nanri S, Saito I, Furukawa T
Environmental Epidemiology, National Children's Medical Research Center, Tokyo, Japan.
J Epidemiol. 2000 Sep;10(5):328-34. doi: 10.2188/jea.10.328.
Incidence of stroke differs between men and women and it increases nearly exponentially with age. Therefore, assessment of family history of stroke disregarding sex and age of family members results in bias or misclassification. In this study the effects of sex and age on the positivity of the past history were analyzed numerically. Sex- and age-specific proportion of a positive history of stroke among 24,007 family members was obtained from a questionnaire survey of 2,316 high school students. By analyzing the sex- and age-specific proportion with the logistic regression model odds ratios resulting from sex and age difference were estimated. The odds ratio for sex difference was 2.458 (95% confidence interval: 2.067-2.924) and odds ratio for age difference was 1.064 (95% confidence interval: 1.058-1.070). This indicated that a positive history of stroke was 2.458 times higher in male members than in female members of the same age and that a positive history increased by (1.064)y, where y was age difference in years. Potential bias or misclassification resulting from disregarding sex and age can be substantial. Some measures to control for sex and age of family members are required in assessing the family history.
中风的发病率在男性和女性之间存在差异,并且几乎随年龄呈指数增长。因此,在不考虑家庭成员性别和年龄的情况下评估中风家族史会导致偏差或错误分类。在本研究中,对性别和年龄对既往史阳性的影响进行了数值分析。通过对2316名高中生的问卷调查,获得了24007名家庭成员中按性别和年龄划分的中风既往史阳性比例。通过使用逻辑回归模型分析按性别和年龄划分的比例,估计了性别和年龄差异导致的优势比。性别差异的优势比为2.458(95%置信区间:2.067 - 2.924),年龄差异的优势比为1.064(95%置信区间:1.058 - 1.070)。这表明,在同一年龄的男性成员中,中风既往史阳性率比女性成员高2.458倍,并且阳性史以(1.064)y的比例增加,其中y为年龄差(以年为单位)。不考虑性别和年龄可能导致的潜在偏差或错误分类可能很大。在评估家族史时,需要采取一些措施来控制家庭成员的性别和年龄。