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蜱虫与蜱传疾病:棕耳蜱(长角血蜱)的媒介-宿主相互作用模型

Ticks and tick-borne diseases: a vector-host interaction model for the brown ear tick (Rhipicephalus appendiculatus).

作者信息

Mwambi H G, Baumgärtner J, Hadeler K P

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, University of Nairobi, Kenya.

出版信息

Stat Methods Med Res. 2000 Jun;9(3):279-301. doi: 10.1177/096228020000900307.

Abstract

An analytical model is derived for the interaction of the brown ear tick (Rhipicephalus appendiculatus) with its hosts. Such models are rare due to the complexity and lack of information on the entire stages of ticks life cycles. Most models are simulations rather than analytical. The vector is categorized into a discrete number of compartments according to its life cycle. The starting model in this article consists of a system of differential equations with constant coefficients. A general model on a stage structured population with unlimited host density is developed. From the characteristic polynomial of the system a sensitivity analysis for the population parameters is carried out in detail. The model is then improved by incorporating host abundance and availability. This is done on the basis of a demand-driven and ratio-dependent functional response model. The improved model adequately represents the dynamics of a stage-structured vector population under conditions of varying host density. The model allows the qualitative evaluation of several management strategies and is expected to guide future research work.

摘要

推导了一个关于褐耳蜱(Rhipicephalus appendiculatus)与其宿主相互作用的分析模型。由于蜱虫生命周期各个阶段的复杂性以及信息匮乏,此类模型较为罕见。大多数模型是模拟模型而非分析模型。根据其生命周期,将该媒介分为若干离散的区室。本文的初始模型由一个常系数微分方程组构成。开发了一个关于宿主密度无限的阶段结构种群的通用模型。从该系统的特征多项式出发,详细开展了对种群参数的敏感性分析。随后,通过纳入宿主丰度和可利用性对模型进行改进。这是基于需求驱动和比率依赖的功能反应模型来完成的。改进后的模型充分体现了宿主密度变化条件下阶段结构媒介种群的动态。该模型能够对多种管理策略进行定性评估,有望为未来的研究工作提供指导。

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