Bhattacharyya T, Millham F H
Departments of Orthopedic Surgery, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts 02118, USA.
J Trauma. 2001 Jul;51(1):118-22. doi: 10.1097/00005373-200107000-00019.
We sought to determine whether trauma patient admission volume to our Level I trauma center was correlated with observable weather or seasonal phenomena.
Trauma registry data and national weather service data for the period between September 1, 1992, and August 31, 1998, were combined into a common data set containing trauma admission data and weather data for each day. Sequential linear regression models were constructed to determine relationships between variables in the data set.
There is a highly significant relationship (p < 0.00001) between maximum daily temperature and trauma admissions (R = 0.22). Rain is associated with a decrease in overall trauma volume. Rain had no effect on the number of admissions because of motor vehicle crash, however. Neither humidity nor snowfall affects trauma admission volume. Trauma admissions are significantly more frequent in July and August, and on Saturdays and Sundays (p < 0.05). Linear regression analysis identified maximum temperature, precipitation, day of week, and month as independent predictors of trauma admission volume (p < 0.001, R = 0.328).
There is a significant relationship between weather and trauma center activity; temperature and precipitation are independently associated with trauma admission volume at our institution. Statistical models of trauma incidence should consider these phenomena. Evaluation of a larger, population-based data set is needed to confirm these relationships.
我们试图确定进入我院一级创伤中心的创伤患者入院量是否与可观测到的天气或季节现象相关。
将1992年9月1日至1998年8月31日期间的创伤登记数据和国家气象局数据合并成一个包含每日创伤入院数据和天气数据的公共数据集。构建序列线性回归模型以确定数据集中各变量之间的关系。
日最高温度与创伤入院量之间存在高度显著的关系(p < 0.00001)(R = 0.22)。降雨与总体创伤量的减少相关。然而,降雨对机动车碰撞导致的入院人数没有影响。湿度和降雪均不影响创伤入院量。7月和8月以及周六和周日的创伤入院频率显著更高(p < 0.05)。线性回归分析确定最高温度、降水量、星期几和月份为创伤入院量的独立预测因素(p < 0.001,R = 0.328)。
天气与创伤中心的活动之间存在显著关系;温度和降水量与我院的创伤入院量独立相关。创伤发病率的统计模型应考虑这些现象。需要评估更大的基于人群的数据集以证实这些关系。