Zeman Catherine L, Vlad Marianna, Kross Burton
Health Division, WRC 239, University of Northern Iowa, Cedar Falls, USA.
J Expo Anal Environ Epidemiol. 2002 Jan-Feb;12(1):54-63. doi: 10.1038/sj.jea.7500202.
The primary focus of this exposure assessment work involved developing an exposure model and determining a numerical point estimate of the amount of biologically relevant nitrate/nitrite exposure that occurred for each child in the study. This assessment was done in support of two epidemiological studies. The first study was an epidemiological cohort study (three cohorts based on nitrate/nitrite exposure) that explored the relationship between high nitrate/nitrite exposure and neuropsychological development. The second study was a nested case/control study (cases of methemoglobinemia versus disease-free controls) that sought to explore the relationship between MHG and various risk factors for the disease.
This work uses both dietary survey and environmental sampling and modeling in order to develop two point estimates of nitrate exposure in milligrams per kilogram per day of nitrite (the biologically active form of the hemoglobin-oxidizing agent) for the first 6 months of the child's life (2-months-of-age and 6-months-of-age point estimates). Methodologies included proxy interviews of primary caregivers, review of existing medical and environmental sampling and analysis.
Exposure to nitrate--nitrogen (with final calculations converted to the biologically active form of the toxin, nitrite) was categorized as high, medium, and low as determined from the distribution of the data derived from final exposure calculations at both the 2-months-of-age point estimate and at the 6-months-of-age point estimate. These tertiles correspond to greater-than-or-equal1.5 mg/kg/day nitrite-nitrogen for high-exposure individuals, <1.5-> or = 0.1 mg/kg/day for medium-exposure individuals, and <0.1 mg/kg/day for low-exposure individuals. Analyses illustrate that over 90% of the nitrate exposure occurred through the consumption of liquids (water) at the 2-months-of-age point estimate while at the 6-months-of-age point estimate, a 10-fold change in the amount of solid consumables occurred.
Final exposure calculations were well differentiated into three tertiles based on a point estimate of average daily intake of nitrite in milligrams per kilogram body weight per day at roughly 2 and 6 months of age. These categories of exposure, based on the exposure model point estimate, correspond well with the exposure estimates as estimated only on the basis of cohort status and their corresponding nitrate/nitrite well water levels. Comparisons of these two sets of data illustrate that following the MHG incident, Cohort II shifted places with Cohort I to become the high-exposure cohort. Further, the predictive ability of the exposure assessment in regard to the outcome of MHG was estimated using a Likelihood Ratio and Pearson's Crosstab analysis. This was performed on the 2-month-of-age point estimate. Likelihood Ratio and Pearson's chi-square were 39.40 and 33.74, respectively, with a probability of achieving these fits by chance alone of <0.0001. This indicates clearly that the children who experienced MHG were also the children at the 2-month-of-age point estimate who had received the highest exposure to nitrate/nitrite through their diet.
本暴露评估工作的主要重点是建立一个暴露模型,并确定该研究中每个儿童发生的生物可利用硝酸盐/亚硝酸盐暴露量的数值点估计。该评估是为两项流行病学研究提供支持。第一项研究是一项流行病学队列研究(基于硝酸盐/亚硝酸盐暴露的三个队列),探讨高硝酸盐/亚硝酸盐暴露与神经心理发育之间的关系。第二项研究是一项巢式病例对照研究(高铁血红蛋白血症病例与无病对照),旨在探讨高铁血红蛋白血症与该疾病的各种风险因素之间的关系。
这项工作采用饮食调查以及环境采样和建模,以便得出儿童生命最初6个月(2月龄和6月龄的点估计)中亚硝酸盐(血红蛋白氧化剂的生物活性形式)每日每千克毫克数的两个硝酸盐暴露点估计。方法包括对主要照料者的代用访谈、对现有医学和环境采样及分析的审查。
根据2月龄点估计和6月龄点估计时最终暴露计算得出的数据分布,将硝酸盐 - 氮暴露(最终计算转换为毒素亚硝酸盐的生物活性形式)分为高、中、低三类。这些三分位数对应于高暴露个体大于或等于1.5毫克/千克/天的亚硝酸盐 - 氮,中暴露个体<1.5 - >或 = 0.1毫克/千克/天,低暴露个体<0.1毫克/千克/天。分析表明,在2月龄点估计时,超过90%的硝酸盐暴露是通过饮用液体(水)发生的,而在6月龄点估计时,固体消耗品的量发生了10倍的变化。
根据大约2个月和6个月大时每天每千克体重亚硝酸盐平均摄入量的点估计,最终暴露计算很好地分为三个三分位数。基于暴露模型点估计的这些暴露类别与仅根据队列状态及其相应的硝酸盐/亚硝酸盐井水水平估计的暴露估计非常吻合。这两组数据的比较表明,在高铁血红蛋白血症事件之后,第二队列与第一队列交换位置,成为高暴露队列。此外,使用似然比和皮尔逊交叉表分析评估了暴露评估对高铁血红蛋白血症结果的预测能力。这是在2月龄点估计时进行的。似然比和皮尔逊卡方分别为39.40和33.74,仅因偶然达到这些拟合的概率<0.0001。这清楚地表明,经历高铁血红蛋白血症的儿童也是在2月龄点估计时通过饮食接受最高硝酸盐/亚硝酸盐暴露的儿童。