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本文引用的文献

1
Police evaluation research: an experimental and cost-benefit analysis of a helicopter patrol in a high crime area.警察评估研究:对高犯罪区直升机巡逻的实验和成本效益分析。
J Appl Behav Anal. 1978 Spring;11(1):11-21. doi: 10.1901/jaba.1978.11-11.
2
Patrol evaluation research: a multiple-baseline analysis of saturation police patrolling during day and night hours.巡逻评估研究:对白天和夜间饱和式警察巡逻的多基线分析。
J Appl Behav Anal. 1977 Spring;10(1):33-40. doi: 10.1901/jaba.1977.10-33.
3
Shoplifting prevention: providing information through signs.商店盗窃防范:通过标志提供信息。
J Appl Behav Anal. 1976;9(4):399-405. doi: 10.1901/jaba.1976.9-399.
4
Social evaluation research: the evaluation of two police patrolling strategies.社会评估研究:对两种警察巡逻策略的评估。
J Appl Behav Anal. 1975 Winter;8(4):353-65. doi: 10.1901/jaba.1975.8-353.

项目评估研究:一项武装抢劫干预项目的实验性成本效益分析。

Program evaluation research: an experimental cost-effectiveness analysis of an armed robbery intervention program.

作者信息

Schnelle J F, Kirchner R E, Galbaugh F, Domash M, Carr A, Larson L

出版信息

J Appl Behav Anal. 1979 Winter;12(4):615-23. doi: 10.1901/jaba.1979.12-615.

DOI:10.1901/jaba.1979.12-615
PMID:120362
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1311484/
Abstract

An armed robbery alarm system was implemented in 48 different stores in two separate geographical areas for 6 months and 12 months, respectively. The alarms were placed in the two separate areas at different times and all alarms were eventually removed. Thus, multiple baseline and reversal strategies were used to evaluate program impact. A device planted in a cash drawer was triggered whenever "bait" money was removed from the drawer sending an alarm signal directly to police cars and headquarters. On-scene apprehensions of armed robbers within target stores were greatly increased even though the armed robbery systems did not deter robbery incidents nor influence the court disposition of the cases. There was also no crime deterrence, crime displacement, or increased apprehensions in either the immediate neighborhoods of target stores or on a city-wide basis. The cost effectiveness of the program was calculated to be poor even though the program is being maintained because of the absence of an alternative robbery apprehension technology.

摘要

一个武装抢劫报警系统分别在两个不同地理区域的48家不同商店中实施,实施时间分别为6个月和12个月。警报器在两个不同区域于不同时间放置,且所有警报器最终都被拆除。因此,采用了多重基线和反转策略来评估该项目的影响。每当从现金抽屉中拿走“诱饵”钱时,安装在现金抽屉里的一个装置就会触发,直接向警车和总部发送警报信号。尽管武装抢劫系统既没有阻止抢劫事件发生,也没有影响案件的法庭处理,但目标商店内武装抢劫者的现场逮捕率大幅提高。在目标商店的紧邻区域或全市范围内,也没有出现犯罪威慑、犯罪转移或逮捕增加的情况。尽管由于缺乏替代的抢劫逮捕技术该项目仍在维持,但经计算该项目的成本效益很差。