Simulation of a population-based model of coronary heart disease morbidity and mortality.

"The main objective of this study is to develop a modelling strategy useful to examine and predict major trends in coronary heart disease. Once we develop a model which can mimic population changes over time, then the models can be extended to provide information on intervention effects by changing the risk factors." The model is illustrated using data for North Karelia, Finland, for the period 1972-1978. (SUMMARY IN KOR)