Fairlamb C D, Nieuwoudt W L
Dev South Afr. 1991 Nov;8(4):513-20. doi: 10.1080/03768359108439611.
A neoclassical utility framework is used to analyze links between decisions about family size and socioeconomic variables using data for 175 women in KwaZulu, South Africa. The demand curve for children is specified within a simultaneous model of family decision-making. "Child education, women's opportunity cost of time and formal market participation were negatively related to fertility, reflecting substitution from numbers of children (time intensive) to fewer, more educated children (less time intensive) as opportunity costs rise. Child labour was positively related to fertility. Strategies to reduce population growth rates should therefore include improvements in women's education and employment opportunities to raise their time costs, and time-saving devices to reduce demand for child labour."
运用新古典效用框架,利用南非夸祖鲁地区175名女性的数据,分析家庭规模决策与社会经济变量之间的联系。儿童需求曲线是在家庭决策的联立模型中确定的。“儿童教育、女性的时间机会成本和正规市场参与与生育率呈负相关,这反映出随着机会成本上升,从生育数量较多(时间密集型)的孩子转向生育数量较少、受教育程度更高(时间密集度较低)的孩子。童工与生育率呈正相关。因此,降低人口增长率的策略应包括改善女性教育和就业机会以提高她们的时间成本,以及采用节省时间的设备以减少对童工的需求。”