Elo I T, Preston S H
Popul Index. 1992 Summer;58(2):186-212.
"This paper considers the effects of health conditions in childhood on an individual's mortality risks as an adult. It examines epidemiologic evidence on some of the major mechanisms expected to create a linkage between childhood and adult mortality and reviews demographic and epidemiologic studies for evidence of the hypothesized linkages....Many empirical studies support the notion that childhood conditions play a major role in adult mortality, but only in the case of respiratory tuberculosis has the demographic importance of a specific mechanism been established by cohort studies. One's date and place of birth also appear to be persistently associated with risks of adult death in a wide variety of circumstances. An individual's height, perhaps the single best indicator of nutritional and disease environment in childhood, has recently been linked to adult mortality, especially from cardiovascular diseases. Further research is needed, however, before causal mechanisms can be identified."
本文探讨童年时期的健康状况对个体成年后死亡风险的影响。它审视了有关一些预期会在童年与成年死亡之间建立联系的主要机制的流行病学证据,并回顾了人口统计学和流行病学研究,以寻找假设联系的证据……许多实证研究支持童年状况在成人死亡率中起主要作用这一观点,但只有在呼吸道结核病的案例中,队列研究才确立了特定机制在人口统计学上的重要性。一个人的出生日期和出生地在各种情况下似乎也与成年死亡风险持续相关。个体的身高,可能是童年营养和疾病环境的最佳单一指标,最近已与成年死亡率相关联,尤其是与心血管疾病导致的死亡率相关。然而,在确定因果机制之前,还需要进一步研究。