Heleniak T
Post Sov Geogr Econ. 1996 Jun;37(6):386-95.
"This research note provides a preliminary analysis of Russia's current age-sex structure, with a focus on the recent past and on what the current levels may indicate about the Russian population's future growth potential." The author notes that "Russia currently is experiencing an absolute decline in the size of its population as well as negative natural increase. It is one of several countries in the world now experiencing an absolute decline in its population and one of about 11 countries registering a negative rate of natural increase. Because of Russia's age structure and the trends in its fertility and mortality rates, there does not appear to be much of a reason for any of these trends to reverse themselves until some future time in the next century."
本研究报告对俄罗斯当前的年龄性别结构进行了初步分析,重点关注近期情况以及当前水平对俄罗斯人口未来增长潜力的预示。作者指出,“俄罗斯目前正经历人口规模的绝对下降以及自然增长为负的情况。它是世界上几个正在经历人口绝对下降的国家之一,也是约11个自然增长率为负的国家之一。由于俄罗斯的年龄结构以及其生育率和死亡率的趋势,在下个世纪的某个未来时间之前,这些趋势似乎没有多少理由会自行逆转。”