Hammel E A, Wachter K W
Eur J Popul. 1996 Jun;12(2):145-66. doi: 10.1007/BF01797081.
"Microsimulation, other demographic tools, and evidence of history and ethnography are used to evaluate an important 17th century household census [in Slavonia, which is modern Croatia]. Linguistic, ethnographic, and internal evidence allow adjustment of anomalies in census categories. Microsimulation based on historically and ethnographically plausible rates and household formation scenarios produces simulated households in accord with those of the adjusted census. Results permit estimation of the true population of the region, of the kinship and age composition of households under frontier conditions, and the probable future composition of households as the frontier stabilized and land shortage began to exert pressure for greater density and household complexity. Part I concentrates on historical, ethnographic, and linguistic evidence." (SUMMARY IN FRE)
微观模拟、其他人口统计工具以及历史和民族志证据被用于评估17世纪一份重要的家庭人口普查记录(位于现代克罗地亚的斯拉沃尼亚地区)。语言、民族志和内部证据有助于调整人口普查类别中的异常情况。基于历史和民族志上合理的比率以及家庭形成情景进行的微观模拟,产生了与调整后的人口普查记录相符的模拟家庭。研究结果有助于估计该地区的真实人口数量、边境条件下家庭的亲属关系和年龄构成,以及随着边境稳定和土地短缺开始促使人口密度增加和家庭结构更加复杂,家庭未来可能的构成情况。第一部分集中讨论历史、民族志和语言证据。 (法语摘要)