Van Der Gaag N, De Jong A H
Maandstat Bevolking. 1997 Dec;45(12):17-31.
"This article presents a look at future demographic developments at the regional level within the countries of the European Union. Although total population within the Union will still be growing in the next three decades, several regions will face a zero or negative population growth at some time. As a consequence of a declining fertility, coinciding with an increased number of deaths due to ageing, only a small number of regions will still experience a positive natural growth in 2025. For many regions the impact of net migration on population growth will become more important."
本文探讨了欧盟国家区域层面未来的人口发展情况。尽管未来三十年欧盟总人口仍将增长,但一些地区在某些时候将面临人口零增长或负增长。由于生育率下降,加上老龄化导致死亡人数增加,到2025年只有少数地区仍将实现自然正增长。对许多地区而言,净移民对人口增长的影响将变得更加重要。