Maksimović C, Makropoulos C K
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Imperial College of Science Technology and Medicine, London, UK.
Water Sci Technol. 2002;46(8):187-94.
In order to effectively manage the wide variety of physical, chemical biological and ecological processes in a sensitive coastal environment such as the Black Sea, current environmental management objectives are no longer sufficient: a new management approach has to address the intimate functional linkage between the river basin and the costal environment. Current water quality legislation requires compliance to emission levels based on the chemical analysis of water samples taken at discharge points, such as treatment plants discharging into rivers. While such measures provide a relative indication of the water quality at the point of discharge, they fail to describe accurately and sufficiently the quality of the water received from the watershed or basin. As water flows through the catchment, rainfall run-off from urban and agricultural areas carries sediments, pesticides, and other chemicals into river systems, which lead to coastal waters. The impact of the Kosovo crisis on the Danube ecosystems provides a poignant example of the effects of such diffused pollution mechanisms and reveals a number of interesting pollution mechanisms. This paper discusses both the effects of diffused pollution on the Black Sea, drawing from state-of-the-art reports on the Danube, and proposes a framework for a decision support system based on distributed hydrological and pollution transport simulation models and GIS. The use of ecological health indicators and fuzzy inference supporting decisions on regional planning within this framework is also advocated. It is also argued that even the recently produced GEF document on Black Sea protection scenarios should benefit significantly if the concept of pollution reduction from both urban, industrial and rural areas should undergo a systematic conceptual update in the view of the recent recommendations of the UNEP IETC (2000) document.
为了有效管理黑海这样敏感的沿海环境中各种各样的物理、化学、生物和生态过程,当前的环境管理目标已不再足够:一种新的管理方法必须解决流域与沿海环境之间紧密的功能联系。当前的水质立法要求根据在排放点(如污水处理厂向河流排放)采集的水样的化学分析来遵守排放水平。虽然这些措施提供了排放点水质的相对指标,但它们未能准确且充分地描述从流域或集水区接收的水的质量。当水流经集水区时,城市和农业地区的降雨径流会携带沉积物、农药和其他化学物质进入河流系统,进而流入沿海水域。科索沃危机对多瑙河生态系统的影响提供了这种扩散污染机制影响的一个鲜明例子,并揭示了一些有趣的污染机制。本文借鉴多瑙河的最新报告,讨论了扩散污染对黑海的影响,并提出了一个基于分布式水文和污染传输模拟模型以及地理信息系统的决策支持系统框架。还提倡在这个框架内使用生态健康指标和模糊推理来支持区域规划决策。同时也认为,如果根据联合国环境规划署国际环境技术中心(2000年)文件的最新建议,对城市、工业和农村地区减少污染的概念进行系统的概念更新,那么即使是最近编写的全球环境基金关于黑海保护方案的文件也将受益匪浅。