Pinchbeck G L, Clegg P D, Proudman C J, Morgan K L, French N P
Epidemiology Group, Department of Veterinary Clinical Science and Animal Husbandry, University of Liverpool, Leahurst, Neston CH64 7TE.
Vet Rec. 2003 May 10;152(19):583-7. doi: 10.1136/vr.152.19.583.
Between March 1, 2000 and August 31, 2001, a case-control study was conducted on 12 racecourses in England and Wales to identify and quantify the risk factors associated with horse falls in hurdle races. The cases and controls were defined so that variables relating to the horse, the jockey, the race and racecourse, and the jump could be considered. The cases were defined as a jumping effort at a hurdle flight that resulted in a fall, and the controls were defined as a successful jump over a hurdle at any of the 12 racecourses within 14 days before or after the case fall. Conditional logistic regression was used to examine the univariable and multivariable relationships between the predictor variables and the risk of falling. The risk of falling was significantly associated with the position of the jump in the race, and with the distance and speed of the race. A horse's previous racing experience and history were also significantly associated with the risk of falling and horses participating in their first hurdle race were at almost five times greater risk of falling than horses that had hurdled before.
2000年3月1日至2001年8月31日期间,在英格兰和威尔士的12个赛马场进行了一项病例对照研究,以识别和量化与跨栏赛中马匹摔倒相关的风险因素。病例和对照的定义使得与马匹、骑师、赛事和赛马场以及跳跃相关的变量都能被考虑在内。病例被定义为在跨栏飞行中导致摔倒的跳跃动作,对照被定义为在病例摔倒前或后的14天内,在12个赛马场中的任何一个成功越过跨栏的情况。使用条件逻辑回归来检验预测变量与摔倒风险之间的单变量和多变量关系。摔倒风险与比赛中跳跃的位置、比赛的距离和速度显著相关。一匹马以前的比赛经验和历史也与摔倒风险显著相关,参加首次跨栏赛的马匹摔倒风险几乎是以前参加过跨栏赛的马匹的五倍。