[Prognostic factors of early morbidity and mortality after lung transplantation].

OBJECTIVES

Despite years of experience with lung transplantation, the rate of perioperative mortality remains high. The objective of this study was to look at our experience in the early postoperative period following lung transplantation in an effort to identify possible pre-, intra- and postoperative risk factors associated with mortality.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective study of 68 consecutive patients receiving lung transplants over a period of 56 months. The conditions that led to transplantation were obstructive disease (40%), interstitial disease (33%) and suppurative disease (27%). Pre-, intra- and postoperative characteristics of donors and recipients were analyzed for their relation to morbidity and mortality. Statistical studies were done using SPSS 10.0 software. A p-value less than.05 was considered significant. Univariate analysis identified variables associated with the incidence of mortality in the postoperative recovery unit, and the variables with statistically significant associations were entered into multivariate analysis, using a logistic regression model to calculate odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

No donor variables correlated with mortality. Patients with suppurative lung disease had a lower mortality rate (0% vs 30%; P = 0.04). Mortality was related to ischemic time longer than 300 minutes (OR = 2) and the use of extracorporeal circulation (OR = 4). A PaO2/FiO2 ratio less than 150 during the first 24 hours following transplantation (OR = 5) and reoperation due to bleeding (OR = 12) were the variables showing the highest correlations with mortality during the early postoperative period.

CONCLUSIONS

The mortality rate during the early postoperative period in our series was 22%. The survival rate was better in patients with suppurative lung disease. Bleeding that required reoperation and early graft dysfunction (defined in part by a PaO2/FiO2 ratio less than 150 during the first 24 hours) were the variables that best predicted death in the early postoperative period following lung transplantation.