Dubus Igor G, Beulke Sabine, Brown Colin D, Gottesbüren Bernhard, Dieses Angelika
Cranfield Centre for EcoChemistry, Cranfield University, Silsoe, Bedfordshire, MK45 4DT, UK.
Pest Manag Sci. 2004 Sep;60(9):859-74. doi: 10.1002/ps.893.
The leaching model PESTRAS was used to estimate sorption and degradation values for bentazone from three lysimeter datasets using the inverse modelling package PEST. Investigations were undertaken to assess the influence on calibration results of (1) values attributed to uncertain parameters not included in the calibration, and (2) starting values supplied to the inverse modelling package. Automatic calibrations with different realistic values for the Freundlich exponent n(f) yielded different combinations of K(om) and DT50. Similarly, the supply of different starting values for K(om) and DT50 revealed that different combinations of these two parameters equally calibrated PESTRAS for two of the three lysimeters. Examination of the error surface, ie the forward running of the model for different combinations of K(om) and DT50 values, and the calculation of the goodness-of-fit to the experimental data, was found useful for identifying those instances where non-uniqueness in the calibration is likely to occur. Although the derivation of sorption and degradation values through inverse modelling is expected to offer significant benefits over laboratory determinations, care should be exercised when examining values derived through this approach. Research is needed to identify data requirements for robust estimation of sorption and degradation parameters through calibration of pesticide fate models against leaching data.
浸出模型PESTRAS被用于使用反演建模软件包PEST从三个蒸渗仪数据集估算灭草松的吸附和降解值。开展了相关研究,以评估(1)归因于未纳入校准的不确定参数的值,以及(2)提供给反演建模软件包的初始值对校准结果的影响。针对弗伦德利希指数n(f)采用不同实际值进行自动校准,得出了不同的有机碳分配系数K(om)和半衰期DT50组合。同样,为K(om)和DT50提供不同的初始值表明,对于三个蒸渗仪中的两个,这两个参数的不同组合对PESTRAS的校准效果相同。对误差曲面(即针对K(om)和DT50值的不同组合正向运行模型)进行检查,并计算与实验数据的拟合优度,被发现有助于识别校准中可能出现非唯一性的情况。尽管通过反演建模推导吸附和降解值预计比实验室测定有显著优势,但在检查通过这种方法得出的值时应谨慎。需要开展研究,以确定通过针对浸出数据校准农药归趋模型来可靠估算吸附和降解参数的数据要求。