加拿大丙型肝炎的经济负担及预防的潜在影响。疾病模型的结果。
Economic burden of hepatitis C in Canada and the potential impact of prevention. Results from a disease model.
作者信息
El Saadany Susie, Coyle Douglas, Giulivi Antonio, Afzal Mohammad
机构信息
Centre for Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, ONT, Canada.
出版信息
Eur J Health Econ. 2005 Jun;6(2):159-65. doi: 10.1007/s10198-004-0273-y.
This Canadian hepatitis C model estimates economic burden of disease using Markov modeling to predict progression over 11 health states annually from 2001 to 2040. Incidence-based estimates help demonstrate the capability to determine cost-effectiveness of programs to prevent different proportions of incident cases. Benefits of prevention increase linearly with the number of incident cases prevented. The model forecasts annual health care costs for the treatment of HCV-related disease ranging from $103 to $158 million over time. Health care costs attributable to 2001 incidence cohort are forecast at $14.6 million for prevention. The increasing cost of HCV provides a framework for further analysis and implementation of long-term policies aimed at appropriate allocation of resources for health in Canada.
这个加拿大丙型肝炎模型使用马尔可夫模型来预测2001年至2040年每年11种健康状态的疾病进展情况,以此估算疾病的经济负担。基于发病率的估算有助于证明确定预防不同比例新发病例的项目成本效益的能力。预防的益处随着预防的新发病例数量线性增加。该模型预测,随着时间推移,用于治疗丙型肝炎相关疾病的年度医疗保健成本在1.03亿至1.58亿美元之间。2001年发病队列的预防医疗保健成本预计为1460万美元。丙型肝炎不断增加的成本为进一步分析和实施旨在为加拿大卫生资源进行合理分配的长期政策提供了一个框架。