Mori Takahiro, Kawamura Hikaru
Department of Earth and Space Science, Faculty of Science, Osaka University, Toyonaka 560-0043, Japan.
Phys Rev Lett. 2005 Feb 11;94(5):058501. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.94.058501. Epub 2005 Feb 7.
Spatiotemporal correlations of earthquakes are studied numerically on the basis of the one-dimensional spring-block (Burridge-Knopoff) model. As large events approach, the frequency of smaller events gradually increases, while, just before the mainshock, it is dramatically suppressed in a close vicinity of the epicenter of the upcoming mainshock, a phenomenon closely resembling the "Mogi doughnut."