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世界卫生组织对儿童死因的估计。

WHO estimates of the causes of death in children.

作者信息

Bryce Jennifer, Boschi-Pinto Cynthia, Shibuya Kenji, Black Robert E

机构信息

WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.

出版信息

Lancet. 2005;365(9465):1147-52. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(05)71877-8.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Child survival efforts can be effective only if they are based on accurate information about causes of deaths. Here, we report on a 4-year effort by WHO to improve the accuracy of this information.

METHODS

WHO established the external Child Health Epidemiology Reference Group (CHERG) in 2001 to develop estimates of the proportion of deaths in children younger than age 5 years attributable to pneumonia, diarrhoea, malaria, measles, and the major causes of death in the first 28 days of life. Various methods, including single-cause and multi-cause proportionate mortality models, were used. The role of undernutrition as an underlying cause of death was estimated in collaboration with CHERG.

FINDINGS

In 2000-03, six causes accounted for 73% of the 10.6 million yearly deaths in children younger than age 5 years: pneumonia (19%), diarrhoea (18%), malaria (8%), neonatal pneumonia or sepsis (10%), preterm delivery (10%), and asphyxia at birth (8%). The four communicable disease categories account for more than half (54%) of all child deaths. The greatest communicable disease killers are similar in all WHO regions with the exception of malaria; 94% of global deaths attributable to this disease occur in the Africa region. Undernutrition is an underlying cause of 53% of all deaths in children younger than age 5 years.

INTERPRETATION

Achievement of the millennium development goal of reducing child mortality by two-thirds from the 1990 rate will depend on renewed efforts to prevent and control pneumonia, diarrhoea, and undernutrition in all WHO regions, and malaria in the Africa region. In all regions, deaths in the neonatal period, primarily due to preterm delivery, sepsis or pneumonia, and birth asphyxia should also be addressed. These estimates of the causes of child deaths should be used to guide public-health policies and programmes.

摘要

背景

儿童生存工作只有基于关于死亡原因的准确信息才会有效。在此,我们报告世界卫生组织(WHO)为提高此类信息的准确性而开展的一项为期4年的工作。

方法

WHO于2001年设立了外部儿童健康流行病学参考小组(CHERG),以估算5岁以下儿童中因肺炎、腹泻、疟疾、麻疹以及出生后头28天内的主要死亡原因导致的死亡比例。采用了多种方法,包括单病因和多病因比例死亡率模型。与CHERG合作估算了营养不良作为潜在死亡原因的作用。

研究结果

在2000 - 2003年期间,六种原因导致了5岁以下儿童每年1060万例死亡中的73%:肺炎(19%)、腹泻(18%)、疟疾(8%)、新生儿肺炎或败血症(10%)、早产(10%)以及出生时窒息(8%)。四类传染病占所有儿童死亡的一半以上(54%)。除疟疾外,所有WHO区域最大的传染病杀手相似;该疾病导致的全球死亡中94%发生在非洲区域。营养不良是5岁以下儿童所有死亡的53%的潜在原因。

解读

实现将儿童死亡率从1990年的水平降低三分之二这一千年发展目标,将取决于在所有WHO区域重新作出努力以预防和控制肺炎、腹泻及营养不良,以及在非洲区域预防和控制疟疾。在所有区域,还应解决新生儿期的死亡问题,主要是由于早产、败血症或肺炎以及出生时窒息。这些儿童死亡原因的估算应被用于指导公共卫生政策和项目。

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