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女性对预防骨质流失的偏好。

Women's preferences for prevention of bone loss.

作者信息

Fraenkel Liana, Constantinescu Florina, Oberto-Medina Mayra, Wittink Dick R

机构信息

Section of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut 06520-8031, USA.

出版信息

J Rheumatol. 2005 Jun;32(6):1086-92.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Despite the serious consequences of osteoporosis, few women use pharmacologic measures to prevent postmenopausal bone loss. We used an interactive computerized questionnaire to examine women's preferences for prevention of osteoporosis.

METHODS

We administered a choice-based conjoint analysis survey (CBCA) to consecutive early postmenopausal women in a shopping center. The questionnaire was constructed to measure preferences for pharmacologic and nonpharmacologic measures to prevent postmenopausal bone loss. Women were also given the option of choosing "none," i.e., to defer or refuse all options. Utilities were calculated based on a Hierarchical Bayes model using Monte Carlo-Markov chain algorithms. We performed simulations based on women's values for specific treatment characteristics to estimate choice.

RESULTS

A total of 212 women agreed to complete the survey (42% participation rate). Between 18% and 47% of the women surveyed (mean age 52+/-5 yrs) were predicted to choose once-weekly medications to prevent postmenopausal bone loss, assuming treatment confers an absolute lifetime risk reduction in fractures of at least 10%.

CONCLUSION

In this CBCA survey, which derived preferences based on how women make tradeoffs between specific treatment characteristics, a significant percentage of women were willing to use once-weekly medications to prevent postmenopausal bone loss.

摘要

目的

尽管骨质疏松症会带来严重后果,但很少有女性采用药物措施来预防绝经后骨质流失。我们使用交互式计算机问卷来研究女性对预防骨质疏松症的偏好。

方法

我们在一个购物中心对连续的绝经早期女性进行了基于选择的联合分析调查(CBCA)。该问卷旨在衡量对预防绝经后骨质流失的药物和非药物措施的偏好。女性还可以选择“不采取任何措施”,即推迟或拒绝所有选项。基于分层贝叶斯模型,使用蒙特卡洛-马尔可夫链算法计算效用值。我们根据女性对特定治疗特征的重视程度进行模拟,以估计她们的选择。

结果

共有212名女性同意完成调查(参与率为42%)。假设治疗能使骨折的终身绝对风险降低至少10%,预计18%至47%的受访女性(平均年龄52±5岁)会选择每周服用一次药物来预防绝经后骨质流失。

结论

在这项基于女性如何在特定治疗特征之间进行权衡来得出偏好的CBCA调查中,相当大比例的女性愿意使用每周一次的药物来预防绝经后骨质流失。

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