Downs Craig A, Woodley Cheryl M, Richmond Robert H, Lanning Lynda L, Owen Richard
Haereticus Environmental Laboratory, Amherst, VA 24521, USA.
Mar Pollut Bull. 2005;51(5-7):486-94. doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2005.06.028. Epub 2005 Jul 28.
Coral reefs are in crisis. Globally, our reefs are degrading at an accelerating rate and present methodologies for coral-reef 'health' assessment, although providing important information in describing these global declines, have been unable to halt these declines. These assessments are usually employed with no clear purpose and using uncorrelated methods resulting in a failure to prevent or mitigate coral reef deterioration. If we are to ever successfully intervene, we must move beyond the current paradigm, where assessments and intervention decisions are based primarily on descriptive science and embrace a paradigm that promotes both descriptive and mechanistic science to recognize a problem, and recognize it before it becomes a crisis. The primary methodology in this alternative paradigm is analogous to the clinical and diagnostic methodologies of evidence-based medicine. Adopting this new paradigm can provide the evidence to target management actions on those stressors currently impacting reef ecosystems as well as providing a means for proactive management actions to avert irreversible habitat decline.
珊瑚礁正处于危机之中。在全球范围内,我们的珊瑚礁正在加速退化,尽管目前用于珊瑚礁“健康”评估的方法在描述这些全球衰退方面提供了重要信息,但却无法阻止这些衰退。这些评估通常在没有明确目的的情况下进行,并且使用不相关的方法,导致无法预防或减轻珊瑚礁的恶化。如果我们要成功进行干预,就必须超越当前的范式,即评估和干预决策主要基于描述性科学,转而采用一种既促进描述性科学又促进机制性科学的范式,以便在问题成为危机之前就识别并认识到它。这种替代范式的主要方法类似于循证医学的临床和诊断方法。采用这种新范式可以提供证据,以便针对目前影响珊瑚礁生态系统的那些压力源采取管理行动,同时也为采取积极的管理行动以避免栖息地不可逆转的衰退提供一种手段。