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丹麦双胞胎多发性硬化症的一致性:一项全国性研究的更新

Concordance for multiple sclerosis in Danish twins: an update of a nationwide study.

作者信息

Hansen T, Skytthe A, Stenager E, Petersen H C, Brønnum-Hansen H, Kyvik K O

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, National Institute of Public Health, Oster Farimagsgade 5, DK-1399 København K, Denmark.

出版信息

Mult Scler. 2005 Oct;11(5):504-10. doi: 10.1191/1352458505ms1220oa.

Abstract

The occurrence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in twins has not previously been studied in complete nationwide data sets. The existence of almost complete MS and twin registries in Denmark ensures that essentially unbiased samples of MS cases among twins can be obtained. In this population-based study, virtually all Danish MS cases among twins born before 1983 with onset of MS after 1948 and diagnosis before I January 1997 were identified. Of 13 286 MS cases, 178 were twins and, of these 164 twin pairs were discordant and seven were concordant. We found significantly higher proband-wise concordance among monozygotic twins than dizygotic twins, with estimated proband-wise concordances of 24% (95% confidence interval (CI): 5-39%) for monozygotic and 3% (95% CI: 0-8%) for dizygotic twins. Thus, a monozygotic twin whose co-twin has MS has a 24% risk of developing the disease, while the corresponding risk for a dizygotic twin is only 3%. Our results largely confirm previously published concordance estimates and indicate that genetic factors are of importance in susceptibility to MS.

摘要

此前尚未利用完整的全国数据集对双胞胎中多发性硬化症(MS)的发病情况进行研究。丹麦几乎完整的MS和双胞胎登记系统确保了能够获得双胞胎中MS病例基本无偏倚的样本。在这项基于人群的研究中,几乎识别出了1983年以前出生、1948年以后发病且在1997年1月1日前确诊的丹麦双胞胎中的所有MS病例。在13286例MS病例中,有178例是双胞胎,其中164对双胞胎不一致,7对一致。我们发现,单卵双胞胎之间的先证者一致率显著高于双卵双胞胎,单卵双胞胎的估计先证者一致率为24%(95%置信区间(CI):5-39%),双卵双胞胎为3%(95%CI:0-8%)。因此,同卵双胞胎中有MS的一方患该病的风险为24%,而双卵双胞胎的相应风险仅为3%。我们的结果在很大程度上证实了之前发表的一致率估计,并表明遗传因素在MS易感性中具有重要作用。

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