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基于人群的所有动脉区域急性血管事件的发生率、发病率、病死率和死亡率研究(牛津血管研究)。

Population-based study of event-rate, incidence, case fatality, and mortality for all acute vascular events in all arterial territories (Oxford Vascular Study).

作者信息

Rothwell P M, Coull A J, Silver L E, Fairhead J F, Giles M F, Lovelock C E, Redgrave J N E, Bull L M, Welch S J V, Cuthbertson F C, Binney L E, Gutnikov S A, Anslow P, Banning A P, Mant D, Mehta Z

机构信息

Stroke Prevention Research Unit, Department of Clinical Neurology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

出版信息

Lancet. 2005 Nov 19;366(9499):1773-83. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(05)67702-1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Acute coronary, cerebrovascular, and peripheral vascular events have common underlying arterial pathology, risk factors, and preventive treatments, but they are rarely studied concurrently. In the Oxford Vascular Study, we determined the comparative epidemiology of different acute vascular syndromes, their current burdens, and the potential effect of the ageing population on future rates.

METHODS

We prospectively assessed all individuals presenting with an acute vascular event of any type in any arterial territory irrespective of age in a population of 91 106 in Oxfordshire, UK, in 2002-05.

FINDINGS

2024 acute vascular events occurred in 1657 individuals: 918 (45%) cerebrovascular (618 stroke, 300 transient ischaemic attacks [TIA]); 856 (42%) coronary vascular (159 ST-elevation myocardial infarction, 316 non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction, 218 unstable angina, 163 sudden cardiac death); 188 (9%) peripheral vascular (43 aortic, 53 embolic visceral or limb ischaemia, 92 critical limb ischaemia); and 62 unclassifiable deaths. Relative incidence of cerebrovascular events compared with coronary events was 1.19 (95% CI 1.06-1.33) overall; 1.40 (1.23-1.59) for non-fatal events; and 1.21 (1.04-1.41) if TIA and unstable angina were further excluded. Event and incidence rates rose steeply with age in all arterial territories, with 735 (80%) cerebrovascular, 623 (73%) coronary, and 147 (78%) peripheral vascular events in 12 886 (14%) individuals aged 65 years or older; and 503 (54%), 402 (47%), and 105 (56%), respectively, in the 5919 (6%) aged 75 years or older. Although case-fatality rates increased with age, 736 (47%) of 1561 non-fatal events occurred at age 75 years or older.

INTERPRETATION

The high rates of acute vascular events outside the coronary arterial territory and the steep rise in event rates with age in all territories have implications for prevention strategies, clinical trial design, and the targeting of funds for service provision and research.

摘要

背景

急性冠状动脉、脑血管和外周血管事件具有共同的潜在动脉病理学、危险因素和预防治疗方法,但它们很少同时进行研究。在牛津血管研究中,我们确定了不同急性血管综合征的比较流行病学、它们当前的负担以及老龄化人口对未来发病率的潜在影响。

方法

2002年至2005年期间,我们对英国牛津郡91106名人群中出现任何类型急性血管事件的所有个体进行了前瞻性评估,无论其年龄大小。

研究结果

1657名个体发生了2024起急性血管事件:918起(45%)为脑血管事件(618起中风,300起短暂性脑缺血发作[TIA]);856起(42%)为冠状动脉血管事件(159起ST段抬高型心肌梗死,316起非ST段抬高型心肌梗死,218起不稳定型心绞痛,163起心源性猝死);188起(9%)为外周血管事件(43起主动脉事件,53起栓塞性内脏或肢体缺血,92起严重肢体缺血);62起为无法分类的死亡事件。总体而言,脑血管事件与冠状动脉事件的相对发病率为1.19(95%可信区间1.06 - 1.33);非致命事件为1.40(1.23 - 1.59);如果进一步排除TIA和不稳定型心绞痛,则为1.21(1.04 - 1.41)。所有动脉区域的事件和发病率均随年龄急剧上升,在12886名(14%)65岁及以上的个体中,有735起(80%)脑血管事件、623起(73%)冠状动脉事件和147起(78%)外周血管事件;在5919名(6%)75岁及以上的个体中,分别有503起(54%)、402起(47%)和105起(56%)。尽管病死率随年龄增加,但1561起非致命事件中有736起(47%)发生在75岁及以上。

解读

冠状动脉区域外的急性血管事件发生率很高,且所有区域的事件发生率随年龄急剧上升,这对预防策略、临床试验设计以及服务提供和研究资金的分配具有重要意义。

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