Holson R R, Pearce B
Division of Reproductive and Developmental Toxicology, National Center for Toxicological Research, Jefferson, AR 72079.
Neurotoxicol Teratol. 1992 May-Jun;14(3):221-8. doi: 10.1016/0892-0362(92)90020-b.
Developmental studies often assess the effect of treatment of the pregnant mother on offspring. The use of multiparous species such as rats and mice in such studies creates a special set of design and analysis problems. These arise for two reasons. First, the availability of many offspring per litter tempts the experimenter to inflate sample size by treating scores from several pups per litter as independent observations. Second, large litter size seldom makes it practical to measure exposure effects in all offspring of an exposed dam. Such studies commonly involve two-stage sampling: Drawing a random sample of dams for treatment, then drawing a second sample of pups per dam for neurobehavioral measurements. In this article, such sampling was modeled by two different simulations. The first, a standard Monte-Carlo approach, sampled from random-normal distributions for litter mean and within-litter variability. The second simulation sampled without replacement from actual data on weight of all pups in a series of 39 nontreated rat litters. These mutually-supportive approaches demonstrate that litter effects, even over as few as three litters, are generally large and statistically meaningful. Consequently, statistical significance tests are sensitive to litter effects. Inflation of sample size by treating as few as 2 pups per litter as independent measurements can almost triple the nominal 0.05 alpha level. Furthermore, two-stage sampling increases the within-treatment error term and correspondingly reduces statistical power relative to one-stage sampling.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
发育研究常常评估对怀孕母体的治疗对后代的影响。在此类研究中使用大鼠和小鼠等多胎物种会产生一系列特殊的设计和分析问题。出现这些问题有两个原因。其一,每窝有许多后代可供利用,这诱使实验者将每窝几只幼崽的得分当作独立观察值来处理,从而夸大样本量。其二,窝仔数多很少能让对受暴露母鼠的所有后代测量暴露影响变得切实可行。此类研究通常涉及两阶段抽样:抽取一个用于治疗的母鼠随机样本,然后为神经行为测量从每只母鼠中再抽取一个幼崽样本。在本文中,这种抽样通过两种不同的模拟进行建模。第一种是标准的蒙特卡罗方法,从窝均值和窝内变异性的随机正态分布中抽样。第二种模拟从39窝未处理大鼠的所有幼崽体重的实际数据中无放回地抽样。这些相互支持的方法表明,即使只有三窝,窝效应通常也很大且具有统计学意义。因此,统计显著性检验对窝效应很敏感。将每窝仅2只幼崽当作独立测量值来处理从而夸大样本量,几乎可使名义上的0.05的α水平增加两倍。此外,相对于单阶段抽样,两阶段抽样会增加处理内误差项,并相应降低统计功效。(摘要截取自250词)