Turner J, Lachlan-Cope T A, Colwell S, Marshall G J, Connolley W M
British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK.
Science. 2006 Mar 31;311(5769):1914-7. doi: 10.1126/science.1121652.
We report an undocumented major warming of the Antarctic winter troposphere that is larger than any previously identified regional tropospheric warming on Earth. This result has come to light through an analysis of recently digitized and rigorously quality controlled Antarctic radiosonde observations. The data show that regional midtropospheric temperatures have increased at a statistically significant rate of 0.5 degrees to 0.7 degrees Celsius per decade over the past 30 years. Analysis of the time series of radiosonde temperatures indicates that the data are temporally homogeneous. The available data do not allow us to unambiguously assign a cause to the tropospheric warming at this stage.
我们报告了南极冬季对流层一次未被记录的显著变暖,其幅度大于地球上此前所识别的任何区域对流层变暖。这一结果是通过对最近数字化且经过严格质量控制的南极无线电探空观测数据的分析而得出的。数据显示,在过去30年里,区域对流层中层温度以每十年0.5摄氏度至0.7摄氏度的统计学显著速率上升。对无线电探空温度时间序列的分析表明,这些数据在时间上是均匀的。目前可得的数据不允许我们在此阶段明确地为对流层变暖确定一个原因。