Lovasich J L, Neyman J, Scott E L, Smith J A
STATISTICAL LABORATORY, UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, BERKELEY.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1969 Nov;64(3):810-7. doi: 10.1073/pnas.64.3.810.
The subdivision of all the experimental days of the Whitetop project into two approximately equal groups, group W with predominantly westerly winds aloft and group E with frequent easterly winds, shows a remarkable difference in the apparent effect of seeding. On W days there was no detectable effect of seeding on rainfall. On E days with seeding, the average 24 hour precipitation in an area of about 100,000 square miles was significantly less than that without seeding by 46 per cent of the latter. The decrease resulted from a "decapitation" of the usual afternoon rise in rainfall. It may be significant that the afternoon maximum of natural precipitation on E days occurs some two hours later than on W days. If the actual cause of the differences in rainfall was seeding, then the loss of water resulting from operational, rather than experimental, seeding would have averaged eight million acre-feet per summer.
将白顶项目的所有实验日细分为两个大致相等的组,W组高空主要为西风,E组常有东风,结果显示播撒的明显效果存在显著差异。在W组的日子里,未检测到播撒对降雨有影响。在有播撒的E组日子里,约100,000平方英里区域内的24小时平均降水量比未播撒时显著减少,减少量为后者的46%。这种减少是由于通常下午降雨的“削顶”所致。或许值得注意的是,E组日子里自然降水的下午最大值比W组日子大约晚两小时出现。如果降雨差异的实际原因是播撒,那么因实际作业而非实验性播撒导致的水量损失每个夏天平均将达800万英亩 - 英尺。