Bouis Howarth E
International Food Policy Research Institute, 2033 K St NW, Washington, DC 20006, USA.
Food Nutr Bull. 2002 Dec;23(4):351-3. doi: 10.1177/156482650202300405.
The fundamental reason that plant breeding using either conventional breeding or biotechnology is so cost-effective is that the benefits of a one-time investment at a central research location can be multiplied over time across nations all over the world. Supplementation and fortification incur the same recurrent costs year after year in country after country. However, each intervention has its own comparative advantages, such that a combination of several interventions is required to substantially reduce micronutrient malnutrition. Improving the density of trace minerals in plants also reduces input requirements and raises crop yields. A simulation model for India and Bangladesh demonstrated that $42 million invested in conventional breeding in developing and planting iron- and zinc-dense varieties of rice and wheat on only 10% of the acreage used for these crops would return $4.9 billion in improved nutrition (including a total of 44 million prevented cases of anemia over 10 years) and higher agricultural productivity.
使用传统育种或生物技术进行植物育种具有成本效益的根本原因在于,在一个中央研究地点进行一次性投资所带来的益处能够随着时间的推移在全世界各国得到成倍放大。在一个又一个国家,补充和强化措施年复一年产生相同的经常性成本。然而,每种干预措施都有其自身的比较优势,因此需要多种干预措施相结合才能大幅减少微量营养素营养不良问题。提高植物中微量矿物质的含量还能减少投入需求并提高作物产量。针对印度和孟加拉国的一个模拟模型表明,仅在用于种植水稻和小麦的10%的耕地面积上投资4200万美元用于开发和种植铁锌含量高的水稻和小麦品种,传统育种就能带来49亿美元的营养改善回报(包括10年内共预防4400万例贫血病例)以及更高的农业生产率。