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南极冰盖的冰动力学和质量平衡变化。

Changes in ice dynamics and mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet.

作者信息

Rignot Eric

机构信息

Jet Propulsion Laboratory 4800 Oak Grove Drive MS 300-319, Pasadena, CA 91109-8099, USA.

出版信息

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2006 Jul 15;364(1844):1637-55. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2006.1793.

Abstract

The concept that the Antarctic ice sheet changes with eternal slowness has been challenged by recent observations from satellites. Pronounced regional warming in the Antarctic Peninsula triggered ice shelf collapse, which led to a 10-fold increase in glacier flow and rapid ice sheet retreat. This chain of events illustrated the vulnerability of ice shelves to climate warming and their buffering role on the mass balance of Antarctica. In West Antarctica, the Pine Island Bay sector is draining far more ice into the ocean than is stored upstream from snow accumulation. This sector could raise sea level by 1m and trigger widespread retreat of ice in West Antarctica. Pine Island Glacier accelerated 38% since 1975, and most of the speed up took place over the last decade. Its neighbour Thwaites Glacier is widening up and may double its width when its weakened eastern ice shelf breaks up. Widespread acceleration in this sector may be caused by glacier ungrounding from ice shelf melting by an ocean that has recently warmed by 0.3 degrees C. In contrast, glaciers buffered from oceanic change by large ice shelves have only small contributions to sea level. In East Antarctica, many glaciers are close to a state of mass balance, but sectors grounded well below sea level, such as Cook Ice Shelf, Ninnis/Mertz, Frost and Totten glaciers, are thinning and losing mass. Hence, East Antarctica is not immune to changes.

摘要

南极冰盖以永恒的缓慢速度变化这一概念已受到近期卫星观测结果的挑战。南极半岛明显的区域变暖引发了冰架崩塌,导致冰川流动速度增加了10倍,冰盖迅速退缩。这一系列事件说明了冰架对气候变暖的脆弱性及其对南极质量平衡的缓冲作用。在南极洲西部,松岛湾地区流入海洋的冰量远远超过上游积雪储存的冰量。该地区可能使海平面上升1米,并引发南极洲西部冰盖的广泛退缩。自1975年以来,松岛冰川加速了38%,且大部分加速发生在过去十年。其邻居思韦茨冰川正在拓宽,当其薄弱的东部冰架破裂时,宽度可能会增加一倍。该地区冰川的广泛加速可能是由于海洋最近升温0.3摄氏度导致冰架融化,冰川脱离冰架基础所致。相比之下,受到大型冰架保护、免受海洋变化影响的冰川对海平面的贡献很小。在南极洲东部,许多冰川接近质量平衡状态,但像库克冰架、宁尼斯/默茨冰川、弗罗斯特冰川和托滕冰川等海平面以下深度较大的区域正在变薄并失去质量。因此,南极洲东部也不能免受变化的影响。

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