Ryne Camilla, Ekeberg Mats, Jonzén Niclas, Oehlschlager Cam, Löfstedt Christer, Anderbrant Olle
Chemical Ecology and Ecotoxicology, Department of Ecology, Lund University, Sweden.
Pest Manag Sci. 2006 Oct;62(10):912-8. doi: 10.1002/ps.1256.
Pheromone-based mating disruption of the almond moth (Ephestia cautella) (Walk.) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) was carried out in a chocolate factory in Sweden. Population monitoring was conducted with pheromone-baited traps and water traps. Pheromone traps showed a 94% catch reduction, and monitoring with water traps showed a significant decrease in total catch (5.0 and 1.6 individuals per trap per week before and during treatment respectively). The significance of the results was tested by fitting the observed data to a first-order autoregressive model. This made it possible to test the data with a 95% confidence interval, comparing trap catches before mating disruption treatment with trapping data during the experiment. It is suggested that this statistical approach may be used more frequently in mating disruption experiments where it is extremely difficult to control external factors and therefore equally difficult to use a comparable control plot to evaluate the treatment.
在瑞典的一家巧克力工厂对基于信息素的杏仁蛾(Ephestia cautella)(沃克)(鳞翅目:螟蛾科)交配干扰进行了研究。使用信息素诱捕器和水诱捕器进行种群监测。信息素诱捕器捕获量减少了94%,用水诱捕器监测显示总捕获量显著下降(处理前和处理期间每个诱捕器每周分别捕获5.0只和1.6只个体)。通过将观测数据拟合到一阶自回归模型来检验结果的显著性。这使得能够在95%的置信区间内检验数据,将交配干扰处理前的诱捕器捕获量与实验期间的诱捕数据进行比较。建议这种统计方法在交配干扰实验中可以更频繁地使用,因为在这类实验中极难控制外部因素,因此同样难以使用可比的对照地块来评估处理效果。