Gullion Christina M, Keith Douglas S, Nichols Gregory A, Smith David H
Kaiser Permanente Center for Health Research, Portland, OR 97227-1110, USA.
Am J Kidney Dis. 2006 Aug;48(2):212-20. doi: 10.1053/j.ajkd.2006.04.083.
Our previous work showed that patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) were 10 times more likely to die than progress to end-stage renal disease. This study examines the impact of comorbidities on mortality risk in a cohort with CKD at 3 levels of progression and a sex- and age-matched comparison group.
In a historical, prospective, cohort study, we selected electronic medical record data for health maintenance organization (HMO) members with an index and repeated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in the range of 15 to 90 mL/min/1.73 m(2) (0.25 to 1.50 mL/s/1.73 m(2)) in 1996 who were followed up for at least 54 months or died during this period. These were matched for birth year and sex with HMO members not meeting GFR criteria, but with the same follow-up criteria. Major comorbid chronic conditions also were identified based on International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, diagnostic codes in the electronic medical record. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate the relative risk for mortality versus comparison subjects as a function of GFR, age, and other chronic conditions.
In the final sample of 19,945 pairs, we found that risk for mortality increases as GFR decreases, but also that both age and other chronic conditions are significant risk factors for mortality.
Baseline levels of estimated GFR and other major chronic disorders all contributed negatively to survival. The relative impact of these comorbidities was greatest among younger (<60 years) patients with CKD, and their relative effect diminished with age.
我们之前的研究表明,慢性肾脏病(CKD)患者死亡的可能性是进展至终末期肾病的10倍。本研究在一个处于3个进展阶段的CKD队列以及一个性别和年龄匹配的对照组中,考察了合并症对死亡风险的影响。
在一项历史性前瞻性队列研究中,我们选取了健康维护组织(HMO)成员的电子病历数据,这些成员在1996年的首次及重复肾小球滤过率(GFR)在15至90 mL/min/1.73 m²(0.25至1.50 mL/s/1.73 m²)范围内,随访至少54个月或在此期间死亡。将这些人与不符合GFR标准但有相同随访标准的HMO成员按出生年份和性别进行匹配。还根据国际疾病分类第九版电子病历中的诊断编码确定主要合并慢性疾病。使用条件逻辑回归来估计与对照受试者相比,作为GFR、年龄和其他慢性疾病函数的死亡相对风险。
在最终的19945对样本中,我们发现死亡风险随着GFR降低而增加,而且年龄和其他慢性疾病都是死亡的重要风险因素。
估计的GFR基线水平和其他主要慢性疾病均对生存产生负面影响。这些合并症的相对影响在年龄较轻(<60岁)的CKD患者中最大,并且其相对作用随着年龄增长而减弱。