Mehta Shruti H, Galai Noya, Astemborski Jacquie, Celentano David D, Strathdee Steffanie A, Vlahov David, Nelson Kenrad E
Department of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21202, USA.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2006 Nov 1;43(3):368-72. doi: 10.1097/01.qai.0000243050.27580.1a.
We examined recent trends (1999-2004) in HIV incidence among a cohort of injection drug users (IDUs) followed since 1988 in Baltimore, Maryland.
One thousand eighty-three HIV-seronegative individuals with a history of injection drug use were recruited between 1988 and 1998 and returned for >or=1 semiannual follow-up visit, where they underwent HIV antibody testing and interviews eliciting risk behaviors. Person-time methods were used to calculate HIV incidence rates per 100 person-years (PYs).
Over 14,770 PYs, 304 individuals seroconverted to HIV (2.06 per 100 PYs). Annual incidence declined from 4.57 in 1988 to 0.53 per 100 PYs in 2004. Similarly, among individuals actively injecting drugs, incidence steadily declined from 5.43 in 1988 to 0 in 2004, with the exception of 2003, when an incidence of 2.59 per 100 PYs was observed. Reported sexual risk behaviors and drug injection declined from 1988 through 2004, but among those actively injecting, reported needle sharing declined from 1988 through 1998 and then increased from 30% in 1998 to nearly 40% in 2003 through 2004.
Long-term declines in HIV incidence among IDUs are consistent with other reports; however, in 2003, we observed an unexpected increase in seroconversion that seems to be related to needle sharing. Although additional follow-up is needed to identify trends, these data indicate the need to reinforce HIV prevention efforts and to continue surveillance of drug users' behaviors.
我们研究了自1988年起在马里兰州巴尔的摩市随访的一组注射吸毒者(IDU)中1999 - 2004年期间HIV发病率的近期趋势。
1988年至1998年间招募了1083名有注射吸毒史且HIV血清学阴性的个体,他们返回进行了≥1次半年一次的随访,期间接受了HIV抗体检测并进行了询问风险行为的访谈。采用人时方法计算每100人年(PYs)的HIV发病率。
在超过14770人年的时间里,304人血清转化为HIV(每100人年2.06例)。年发病率从1988年的4.57降至2004年的每100人年0.53例。同样,在积极注射毒品的个体中,发病率从1988年的5.43稳步下降至2004年的0,但2003年除外,该年观察到的发病率为每100人年2.59例。1988年至2004年期间报告的性风险行为和毒品注射有所下降,但在积极注射毒品者中,报告的共用针头行为从1988年至1998年下降,然后从1998年的30%增至2003年至2004年的近40%。
IDU中HIV发病率的长期下降与其他报告一致;然而,2003年我们观察到血清转化意外增加,这似乎与共用针头有关。尽管需要进一步随访以确定趋势,但这些数据表明有必要加强HIV预防工作并继续监测吸毒者行为。