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过去30年美国小细胞肺癌流行病学的变化:监测、流行病学和最终结果数据库分析

Changing epidemiology of small-cell lung cancer in the United States over the last 30 years: analysis of the surveillance, epidemiologic, and end results database.

作者信息

Govindan Ramaswamy, Page Nathan, Morgensztern Daniel, Read William, Tierney Ryan, Vlahiotis Anna, Spitznagel Edward L, Piccirillo Jay

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, MO 63110, USA.

出版信息

J Clin Oncol. 2006 Oct 1;24(28):4539-44. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2005.04.4859.

Abstract

PURPOSE

Small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) is a histologic subtype of lung cancer with a distinct biology and clinical course. It has been observed that the incidence of SCLC has been decreasing over the last several years.

METHODS

We used the Surveillance, Epidemiologic, and End Results (SEER) database to determine the incidence of SCLC over the last 30 years. In addition, we sought to determine sex- and stage-based differences in the incidence and survival of SCLC among a proportion of reported cases of lung cancer over the last 30 years (1973 to 2002). Joinpoint analyses were applied to test the trends in annual percentage change for statistical significance.

RESULTS

The proportion of SCLC (among all lung cancer histologic types) decreased from 17.26% in 1986 to 12.95% in 2002. Of all patients with SCLC, the proportion of women with SCLC increased from 28% in 1973% to 50% in 2002. A modest but statistically significant improvement in 2- and 5-year survival was noted among both limited-stage SCLC and extensive-stage SCLC cohorts during the study period.

CONCLUSION

Our analysis indicates that the incidence of SCLC is decreasing in the United States, and only modest improvements have been seen in survival over the last 30 years. Possible explanations for the decreasing incidence include the decrease in the percentage of smokers and the change to low-tar filter cigarettes. Despite trends toward modest improvement in survival, the outcome remains very poor.

摘要

目的

小细胞肺癌(SCLC)是肺癌的一种组织学亚型,具有独特的生物学特性和临床病程。据观察,在过去几年中小细胞肺癌的发病率一直在下降。

方法

我们使用监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库来确定过去30年中小细胞肺癌的发病率。此外,我们试图确定在过去30年(1973年至2002年)报告的一部分肺癌病例中,小细胞肺癌在发病率和生存率方面基于性别和分期的差异。应用连接点分析来检验年度百分比变化趋势的统计学显著性。

结果

小细胞肺癌(在所有肺癌组织学类型中)的比例从1986年的17.26%降至2002年的12.95%。在所有小细胞肺癌患者中,女性小细胞肺癌患者的比例从1973年的28%增至2002年的50%。在研究期间,局限期小细胞肺癌和广泛期小细胞肺癌队列的2年和5年生存率均有适度但具有统计学意义的改善。

结论

我们的分析表明,美国小细胞肺癌的发病率正在下降,并且在过去30年中生存率仅略有改善。发病率下降的可能原因包括吸烟者比例的下降以及向低焦油过滤嘴香烟的转变。尽管生存率有适度改善的趋势,但结果仍然很差。

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