Miglior F, Sewalem A, Jamrozik J, Lefebvre D M, Moore R K
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada--Dairy and Swine Research and Development Centre, Sherbrooke, QC, Canada, J1M 1Z3.
J Dairy Sci. 2006 Dec;89(12):4886-94. doi: 10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(06)72537-1.
The aim of this study was to assess the phenotypic level of lactose and milk urea nitrogen concentration (MUN) and the association of these traits with functional survival of Canadian dairy cattle using a Weibull proportional hazards model. A total of 1,568,952 test-day records from 283,958 multiparous Holstein cows from 4,758 herds, and 79,036 test-day records from 26,784 multiparous Ayrshire cows from 384 herds, calving from 2001 to 2004, were used for the phenotypic analysis. The overall average lactose percentage and MUN for Ayrshires were 4.49% and 12.20 mg/dL, respectively. The corresponding figures for Holsteins were 4.58% and 11.11 mg/dL. Concentration of MUN increased with parity number, whereas lactose percentage decreased in later parities. Data for survival analysis consisted of 39,536 first-lactation cows from 1,619 herds from 2,755 sires for Holsteins and 2,093 cows in 228 herds from 157 sires for Ayrshires. Test-day lactose percentage and MUN were averaged within first lactation. Average lactose percentage and MUN were grouped into 5 classes (low, medium-low, medium, medium-high, and high) based on mean and standard deviation values. The statistical model included the effects of stage of lactation, season of production, the annual change in herd size, type of milk-recording supervision, age at first calving, effects of milk, fat, and protein yields calculated as within herd-year-parity deviations, herd-year-season of calving, lactose percentage and MUN classes, and sire. The relative culling rate was calculated for animals in each class after accounting for the remaining effects included in the model. Results showed that there was a statistically significant association between lactose percentage and MUN in first lactation with functional survival in both breeds. Ayrshire cows with high and low concentration of MUN tended to be culled at a higher than average rate. Instead, Holstein cows had a linear association, with decreasing relative risk of culling with increasing levels of MUN concentration. The relationship between lactose percentage and survival was similar across breeds, with higher risk of culling at low level of lactose, and lower risk of culling at high level of lactose percentage.
本研究的目的是使用威布尔比例风险模型评估乳糖和牛奶尿素氮浓度(MUN)的表型水平,以及这些性状与加拿大奶牛功能存活的关联。对2001年至2004年产犊的4758个牛群中283958头经产荷斯坦奶牛的1568952条测定日记录,以及384个牛群中26784头经产艾尔夏奶牛的79036条测定日记录进行了表型分析。艾尔夏奶牛的乳糖百分比和MUN总体平均水平分别为4.49%和12.20mg/dL。荷斯坦奶牛的相应数字为4.5%58%和11.11mg/dL。MUN浓度随着胎次增加而升高,而乳糖百分比在较高胎次时下降。存活分析的数据包括来自2755头公牛的1619个牛群中的39536头头胎泌乳奶牛(荷斯坦奶牛),以及来自157头公牛的228个牛群中的2093头奶牛(艾尔夏奶牛)。在头胎泌乳期内对测定日乳糖百分比和MUN进行平均。根据均值和标准差将平均乳糖百分比和MUN分为5类(低、中低、中等、中高和高)。统计模型包括泌乳阶段、生产季节、牛群规模的年度变化、牛奶记录监督类型、初产年龄、以牛群-年份-胎次偏差计算的牛奶、脂肪和蛋白质产量的影响、产犊的牛群-年份-季节、乳糖百分比和MUN类别以及公牛的影响。在考虑模型中包含的其他影响因素后,计算了每个类别的动物的相对淘汰率。结果表明,在两个品种中,头胎泌乳期的乳糖百分比和MUN与功能存活之间存在统计学上的显著关联。MUN浓度高和低的艾尔夏奶牛往往以高于平均水平的比率被淘汰。相反,荷斯坦奶牛存在线性关联,随着MUN浓度水平的升高,淘汰的相对风险降低。各品种中乳糖百分比与存活之间的关系相似,乳糖水平低时淘汰风险较高,乳糖百分比高时淘汰风险较低。