Zhang Ping, Imai Kumiko
Division of Diabetes Translation, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Mailstop K-10, 4770 Buford Highway NE, Atlanta, GA 3034, USA.
Expert Opin Pharmacother. 2007 Jan;8(1):49-57. doi: 10.1517/14656566.8.1.49.
Few studies have examined how a person's age is related to healthcare expenditure among individuals with chronic conditions. The authors reviewed and examined the association between age and healthcare expenditure among persons with diabetes. Crude healthcare expenditure increases with age. Excluding expenditure associated with long-term and home healthcare, medical costs per person peaks at approximately 80 years of age. For males, persons aged 19-34 years had the lowest per-person medical costs, but, for females, those aged 0-18 years had the lowest per-person medical cost. Healthcare expenditure associated with long-term care and home care increased exponentially beyond 65 years of age. There were considerable differences between sexes in terms of the association of age with healthcare expenditure. Age is not a cause for increased healthcare costs; it is the ageing process and the increased likelihood of morbidity and mortality that comes with increasing age that lead to an increase in costs. The three dominant factors that mediate the positive relationship between age and healthcare expenditure are i) the high medical cost associated with death and the increasing likelihood of death with age; ii) increasing long-term and home care with age, particularly among the very elderly; and iii) the rising number and severity of diabetes-related complications with age. A person's age has no effect or a minimal positive effect on a person's demand for healthcare and total healthcare spending, after adjusting other covariates among persons with diabetes. The aging of populations should have a small impact on future healthcare expenditure. Including non-traditional factors in the cost model, such as proximity to death and prevalence of future diabetes-related complications, would improve the prediction of future healthcare expenditure for persons with diabetes.
很少有研究探讨慢性病患者的年龄与医疗保健支出之间的关系。作者回顾并研究了糖尿病患者年龄与医疗保健支出之间的关联。粗略的医疗保健支出随年龄增长而增加。排除与长期和家庭医疗保健相关的支出后,人均医疗费用在大约80岁时达到峰值。对于男性,19 - 34岁的人每人医疗费用最低,但对于女性,0 - 18岁的人每人医疗费用最低。与长期护理和家庭护理相关的医疗保健支出在65岁以后呈指数增长。在年龄与医疗保健支出的关联方面,两性之间存在相当大的差异。年龄不是医疗成本增加的原因;而是衰老过程以及随着年龄增长发病率和死亡率增加的可能性导致成本上升。介导年龄与医疗保健支出之间正相关关系的三个主要因素是:i)与死亡相关的高医疗成本以及随着年龄增长死亡可能性增加;ii)随着年龄增长长期和家庭护理增加,特别是在老年人中;iii)与糖尿病相关的并发症数量和严重程度随着年龄增长而上升。在调整糖尿病患者的其他协变量后,一个人的年龄对其医疗保健需求和总医疗保健支出没有影响或只有最小的积极影响。人口老龄化对未来医疗保健支出的影响应该很小。在成本模型中纳入非传统因素,如接近死亡程度和未来糖尿病相关并发症的患病率,将改善对糖尿病患者未来医疗保健支出的预测。