Silva del Río N, Stewart S, Rapnicki P, Chang Y M, Fricke P M
Department of Dairy Science, University of Wisconsin, Madison 53706, USA.
J Dairy Sci. 2007 Mar;90(3):1255-64. doi: 10.3168/jds.s0022-0302(07)71614-4.
A data set of Holstein calving records from January 1996 to September 2004 comprising 4,103 herds with 2,304,278 calving events representing 1,164,233 cows and 96,069 twin births was extracted from Minnesota Dairy Herd Improvement Association archives to assess reported twinning trends and calf mortality across time. Overall, the reported twinning rate was 4.2%, and twinning increased with parity [1.2% for nulliparous vs. 5.8% for multiparous cows; odds ratio (OR) = 4.9], and with time (3.4% in 1996 to 4.8% in 2004), with a parity by time interaction. Independent of parity, the greatest twinning rate was observed when conception occurred from August to October compared with other seasons (OR = 1.2). Calf mortality was greater after twin births, with 28.2% of twin calving events reporting one or both calves as dead, compared with 7.2% for singleton births (OR = 6.5). Calf mortality for primiparous and multiparous cows was 5.0% after a single birth and 25.5% after twin births, whereas for nulliparous heifers, mortality was 10.4% for singletons and 38.0% for twins (OR = 3.4). Calf sex ratio (male, M; female, F) was 53.3% M and 46.7% F for singleton calves, and 30.1% MM, 43.6% MF, and 26.3% FF for twin calves. Although specific factors cannot be implicated, the increase in twinning across time suggests a concurrent change in one or more causative factors associated with twinning during the 9-yr study period.
从明尼苏达奶牛群改良协会档案中提取了1996年1月至2004年9月的荷斯坦奶牛产犊记录数据集,该数据集包含4103个牛群、2304278次产犊事件,涉及1164233头奶牛和96069例双胎分娩,以评估报告的双胎率趋势和不同时期的犊牛死亡率。总体而言,报告的双胎率为4.2%,双胎率随胎次增加(初产母牛为1.2%,经产母牛为5.8%;优势比[OR]=4.9),且随时间增加(1996年为3.4%,2004年为4.8%),存在胎次与时间的交互作用。不考虑胎次,与其他季节相比,8月至10月受孕时双胎率最高(OR=1.2)。双胎分娩后犊牛死亡率更高,28.2%的双胎产犊事件报告有一头或两头犊牛死亡,而单胎分娩的这一比例为7.2%(OR=6.5)。初产和经产母牛单胎分娩后的犊牛死亡率为5.0%,双胎分娩后为25.5%,而初产小母牛单胎死亡率为10.4%,双胎死亡率为38.0%(OR=3.4)。单胎犊牛的犊牛性别比(雄性,M;雌性,F)为53.3%M和46.7%F,双胎犊牛为30.1%MM、43.6%MF和26.3%FF。尽管无法确定具体因素,但在9年的研究期间,双胎率随时间的增加表明与双胎相关的一个或多个致病因素同时发生了变化。