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理解诊断测试3:受试者工作特征曲线。

Understanding diagnostic tests 3: Receiver operating characteristic curves.

作者信息

Akobeng Anthony K

机构信息

Department of Paediatric Gastroenterology, Central Manchester and Manchester Children's University Hospitals, Booth Hall Children's Hospital, Manchester, UK.

出版信息

Acta Paediatr. 2007 May;96(5):644-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1651-2227.2006.00178.x. Epub 2007 Mar 21.

Abstract

UNLABELLED

The results of many clinical tests are quantitative and are provided on a continuous scale. To help decide the presence or absence of disease, a cut-off point for 'normal' or 'abnormal' is chosen. The sensitivity and specificity of a test vary according to the level that is chosen as the cut-off point. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, a graphical technique for describing and comparing the accuracy of diagnostic tests, is obtained by plotting the sensitivity of a test on the y axis against 1-specificity on the x axis. Two methods commonly used to establish the optimal cut-off point include the point on the ROC curve closest to (0, 1) and the Youden index. The area under the ROC curve provides a measure of the overall performance of a diagnostic test. In this paper, the author explains how the ROC curve can be used to select optimal cut-off points for a test result, to assess the diagnostic accuracy of a test, and to compare the usefulness of tests.

CONCLUSION

The ROC curve is obtained by calculating the sensitivity and specificity of a test at every possible cut-off point, and plotting sensitivity against 1-specificity. The curve may be used to select optimal cut-off values for a test result, to assess the diagnostic accuracy of a test, and to compare the usefulness of different tests.

摘要

未标注

许多临床试验的结果是定量的,并以连续尺度提供。为了帮助确定疾病的存在与否,会选择一个“正常”或“异常”的临界点。一项检测的灵敏度和特异度会根据所选的临界点水平而变化。通过将检测的灵敏度绘制在y轴上,将1减去特异度绘制在x轴上,可得到受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,这是一种用于描述和比较诊断检测准确性的图形技术。常用于确定最佳临界点的两种方法包括ROC曲线上最接近(0,1)的点和尤登指数。ROC曲线下的面积提供了对诊断检测整体性能的一种度量。在本文中,作者解释了如何使用ROC曲线为检测结果选择最佳临界点、评估检测的诊断准确性以及比较检测的有用性。

结论

ROC曲线是通过计算一项检测在每个可能的临界点处的灵敏度和特异度,并将灵敏度与1减去特异度进行绘图而获得的。该曲线可用于为检测结果选择最佳临界值、评估检测的诊断准确性以及比较不同检测的有用性。

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