Wiesner Margit, Weichold Karina, Silbereisen Rainer K
Department of Educational Psychology, University of Houston, Houston, TX 77204-5029, USA.
Psychol Addict Behav. 2007 Mar;21(1):62-75. doi: 10.1037/0893-164X.21.1.62.
This longitudinal study used data from a secondary data archive of 1,619 East German adolescents (mean age, 14.05 years at the initial wave). Latent growth mixture modeling was used to identify distinctive developmental trajectories of alcohol consumption from ages 14 through 18 years. Four groups were found for both boys (rare users, late escalators, early peakers, regular users) and girls (rare users, increasers, decreasers, regular users). Further analyses showed reasonably good external validity of the identified alcohol consumption trajectories. Finally, female alcohol use trajectory groups differed in terms of financial resources (socioeconomic backgrounds), whereas male trajectory groups did not differ at all in terms of sociodemographic characteristics. Overall, evidence for gender-specific alcohol use trajectories was mixed.
这项纵向研究使用了来自1619名东德青少年(初次调查时平均年龄为14.05岁)的二次数据存档。采用潜在增长混合模型来识别14至18岁青少年饮酒的不同发展轨迹。在男孩(极少饮酒者、后期饮酒量增加者、早期饮酒量高峰者、经常饮酒者)和女孩(极少饮酒者、饮酒量增加者、饮酒量减少者、经常饮酒者)中均发现了四类群体。进一步分析表明,所识别出的饮酒轨迹具有相当良好的外部效度。最后,女性饮酒轨迹组在经济资源(社会经济背景)方面存在差异,而男性轨迹组在社会人口学特征方面则毫无差异。总体而言,特定性别饮酒轨迹的证据好坏参半。