Malberg H, Bauernschmitt R, Voss A, Walther T, Faber R, Stepan H, Wessel N
Institute for Applied Computer Science, Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe GmbH, Herrmann-von-Helmholtz-Platz 1, Eggenstein-Leopoldshafen 76344, Germany.
Chaos. 2007 Mar;17(1):015113. doi: 10.1063/1.2711660.
Pre-eclampsia (PE) is a serious disorder with high morbidity and mortality occurring during pregnancy; 3%-5% of all pregnant women are affected. Early prediction is still insufficient in clinical practice. Although most pre-eclamptic patients show pathological uterine perfusion in the second trimester, this parameter has a positive predictive accuracy of only 30%, which makes it unsuitable for early, reliable prediction. The study is based on the hypothesis that alterations in cardiovascular regulatory behavior can be used to predict PE. Ninety-six pregnant women in whom Doppler investigation detected perfusion disorders of the uterine arteries were included in the study. Twenty-four of these pregnant women developed PE after the 30th week of gestation. During pregnancy, additional several noninvasive continuous blood pressure recordings were made over 30 min under resting conditions by means of a finger cuff. The time series extracted of systolic as well as diastolic beat-to-beat pressures and the heart rate were studied by variability and coupling analysis to find predictive factors preceding genesis of the disease. In the period between the 18th and 26th weeks of pregnancy, three special variability and baroreflex parameters were able to predict PE several weeks before clinical manifestation. Discriminant function analysis of these parameters was able to predict PE with a sensitivity and specificity of 87.5% and a positive predictive value of 70%. The combined clinical assessment of uterine perfusion and cardiovascular variability demonstrates the best current prediction several weeks before clinical manifestation of PE.
子痫前期(PE)是一种在孕期发病率和死亡率较高的严重疾病;所有孕妇中有3%-5%受其影响。在临床实践中,早期预测仍不充分。尽管大多数子痫前期患者在孕中期表现出病理性子宫灌注,但该参数的阳性预测准确率仅为30%,这使其不适用于早期、可靠的预测。本研究基于心血管调节行为的改变可用于预测PE这一假设。96名经多普勒检查发现子宫动脉灌注异常的孕妇被纳入研究。其中24名孕妇在妊娠30周后发生了子痫前期。在孕期,通过指套袖带在静息状态下额外进行了30分钟的无创连续血压记录。通过变异性和耦合分析研究提取的收缩压和舒张压逐搏压力以及心率的时间序列,以找出疾病发生前的预测因素。在妊娠第18周至26周期间,三个特殊的变异性和压力反射参数能够在临床症状出现前数周预测子痫前期。对这些参数进行判别函数分析能够以87.5%的敏感性、特异性和70%的阳性预测值预测子痫前期。子宫灌注和心血管变异性的联合临床评估显示,在子痫前期临床表现出现前数周,是目前最佳的预测方法。