Gao Fei, Chia Kee-Seng, Machin David
Division of Clinical Trials and Epidemiological Sciences, National Cancer Centre, Singapore.
Leuk Res. 2007 Oct;31(10):1327-38. doi: 10.1016/j.leukres.2007.03.003. Epub 2007 May 4.
Inconsistent seasonal patterns in peak presentation of acute lymphoblastic leukemia have been reported but no formal synthesis of published reports has been attempted to date. We extracted monthly tabulations of cases from publications and reanalysed using an angular methodology and the von Mises distribution. Twenty-four articles from 11 countries in locations ranging from 35.05 degrees S to 65.01 degrees N were identified. Formal synthesis established weak evidence for seasonality in adults and children. Were seasonality present, and arising from a climatic determinant, one might anticipate peaks of an increasing magnitude as the associated latitude moved away from the equator. No such pattern was apparent.
已有报道称急性淋巴细胞白血病发病高峰的季节性模式并不一致,但迄今为止尚未有人尝试对已发表的报告进行正式汇总分析。我们从出版物中提取了病例的月度统计表,并使用角方法和冯·米塞斯分布进行重新分析。共识别出来自11个国家、纬度范围从南纬35.05度至北纬65.01度地区的24篇文章。正式汇总分析发现成人和儿童存在季节性的证据不足。如果存在季节性且由气候决定因素引起,那么随着相关纬度远离赤道,可能会预期发病高峰的幅度会增大。但并未出现这种模式。