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[环境因素对涉及道路交通事故的两轮机动车驾驶员死亡风险的影响]

[Effect of environmental factors on the risk of death for drivers of two-wheeled motorized vehicles involved in road crashes].

作者信息

Donate-López Carolina, Espigares-Rodríguez Elena, Jiménez-Moleón José Juan, Luna del Castillo Juan de Dios, Bueno-Cavanillas Aurora, Lardelli-Claret Pablo

机构信息

Departamento de Medicina Preventiva y Salud Pública, Universidad de Granada, España.

出版信息

Gac Sanit. 2007 May-Jun;21(3):197-203. doi: 10.1157/13106801.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effect of environmental factors on the risk of death for drivers of two-wheeled motorized vehicles (TWMV) after a crash.

METHODS

We studied a case series comprising all 309,626 drivers of TWMV involved in road crashes with victims compiled by the Spanish Department of Transportation from 1993 to 2002. The dependent variable was death of the driver. Environmental factors included temporal variables (year, month, day and hour of the crash) and spatial variables (area where the accident took place and light conditions, among others). Confounding variables related to the driver (age, sex, helmet use), the vehicle, and the type of crash were also recorded. Poisson regression models were constructed to obtain crude and adjusted relative risks for each environmental condition.

RESULTS

In the adjusted analysis, no association was found between most time-related factors and the risk of death, with the exception of an increased risk in the early hours of the morning. The risk of death was much greater for crashes on open roads (especially highways and motorways) than in urban areas, where the risk of death increased as the size of the town decreased.

CONCLUSIONS

After adjustment for several confounders, the only environmental factors related to the risk of death in TWMV drivers after a crash were the area when the crash occurred, and (more weakly) the time of day when it occurred.

摘要

目的

评估环境因素对两轮机动车(TWMV)驾驶员在撞车后死亡风险的影响。

方法

我们研究了一个病例系列,包括西班牙交通部汇编的1993年至2002年期间所有309,626名涉及道路撞车且有受害者的TWMV驾驶员。因变量是驾驶员的死亡情况。环境因素包括时间变量(撞车的年份、月份、日期和时间)和空间变量(事故发生的区域以及光照条件等)。还记录了与驾驶员相关的混杂变量(年龄、性别、头盔使用情况)、车辆以及撞车类型。构建泊松回归模型以获得每种环境条件下的粗相对风险和调整后的相对风险。

结果

在调整分析中,除凌晨时段死亡风险增加外,大多数与时间相关的因素与死亡风险之间未发现关联。在开阔道路(尤其是高速公路和机动车道)上发生撞车时的死亡风险比在城市地区大得多,在城市地区,死亡风险随着城镇规模的减小而增加。

结论

在对多个混杂因素进行调整后,与TWMV驾驶员撞车后死亡风险相关的唯一环境因素是撞车发生的区域,以及(较弱的)撞车发生的时间。

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