Fung Isaac C-H, Guinness Lorna, Vickerman Peter, Watts Charlotte, Vannela Gangadhar, Vadhvana Jagdish, Foss Anna M, Malodia Laxman, Gandhi Meena, Jani Gaurang
MSc Control of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
BMC Public Health. 2007 Aug 6;7:195. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-7-195.
BACKGROUND: Ahmedabad is an industrial city in Gujarat, India. In 2003, the HIV prevalence among commercial sex workers (CSWs) in Ahmedabad reached 13.0%. In response, the Jyoti Sangh HIV prevention programme for CSWs was initiated, which involves outreach, peer education, condom distribution, and free STD clinics. Two surveys were performed among CSWs in 1999 and 2003. This study estimates the cost-effectiveness of the Jyoti Sangh HIV prevention programme. METHODS: A dynamic mathematical model was used with survey and intervention-specific data from Ahmedabad to estimate the HIV impact of the Jyoti Sangh project for the 51 months between the two CSW surveys. Uncertainty analysis was used to obtain different model fits to the HIV/STI epidemiological data, producing a range for the HIV impact of the project. Financial and economic costs of the intervention were estimated from the provider's perspective for the same time period. The cost per HIV-infection averted was estimated. RESULTS: Over 51 months, projections suggest that the intervention averted 624 and 5,131 HIV cases among the CSWs and their clients, respectively. This equates to a 54% and 51% decrease in the HIV infections that would have occurred among the CSWs and clients without the intervention. In the absence of intervention, the model predicts that the HIV prevalence amongst the CSWs in 2003 would have been 26%, almost twice that with the intervention. Cost per HIV infection averted, excluding and including peer educator economic costs, was USD 59 and USD 98 respectively. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that targeted CSW interventions in India can be cost-effective, and highlights the importance of replicating this effort in other similar settings.
背景:艾哈迈达巴德是印度古吉拉特邦的一座工业城市。2003年,艾哈迈达巴德商业性工作者中的艾滋病毒流行率达到13.0%。作为应对措施,启动了针对商业性工作者的乔蒂桑格艾滋病毒预防项目,该项目包括外展服务、同伴教育、发放避孕套和免费性病诊所。1999年和2003年对商业性工作者进行了两次调查。本研究评估了乔蒂桑格艾滋病毒预防项目的成本效益。 方法:使用动态数学模型,结合来自艾哈迈达巴德的调查和特定干预数据,估计乔蒂桑格项目在两次商业性工作者调查之间的51个月内对艾滋病毒的影响。采用不确定性分析来获得与艾滋病毒/性传播感染流行病学数据不同的模型拟合,得出该项目艾滋病毒影响的范围。从提供者的角度估计同一时期干预措施的财务和经济成本。估计了避免每例艾滋病毒感染的成本。 结果:在51个月内,预测表明该干预措施分别避免了商业性工作者及其客户中的624例和5131例艾滋病毒病例。这相当于在没有干预的情况下,商业性工作者及其客户中艾滋病毒感染率分别下降了54%和51%。在没有干预的情况下,模型预测2003年商业性工作者中的艾滋病毒流行率将为26%,几乎是有干预情况下的两倍。排除和包括同伴教育者经济成本在内,避免每例艾滋病毒感染的成本分别为59美元和98美元。 结论:本研究表明,在印度针对商业性工作者的干预措施可能具有成本效益,并强调了在其他类似环境中推广这项工作的重要性。
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